The latest report from Imperial College London, whose previous study prompted governments to intensify efforts to fight against coronavirus, showed that the number of victims with severe measures could reach 1.8 million, 40 million without action.

World Health Organization data show that as of March 27, the number of global infections exceeded 500,000, including more than 22,000 deaths.

Simulation at Imperial College is based on current data on the severity of the virus — its infectivity and mortality, demographic and social factors..

A sobering forecast of what could have happened without intervention, the study says: if you leave the coronavirus unchecked, it could infect almost everyone on the planet this year and kill 40 million people.

Forecasts for hard and soft measures.

With stringent containment measures introduced early enough, the simulation shows that the death toll is 1.

86 million, with nearly 470 million becoming infected this year..

If the same measures were taken later, the estimated number of victims will increase sharply to 10.45 million.. deaths and 2.4 billion. infected.

“Our analysis highlights the complex decisions that all governments will face in the coming weeks and months, but demonstrates the extent to which quick, decisive and collective action can now save millions of lives,” the authors say..

https: // www. medikforum. com /.

Keywords:.