Russia will not be able to retain the occupation of the Crimean peninsula for a long time and in the near future prerequisites for its return to Ukraine.

This is on air "The Observer. LIVE "military expert Alexei Arestovich declared.

"Russia will never hold back the Crimea, and these apocalyptic predictions that Crimea will never return to Ukraine are all nonsense. They lost half of Europe, captured by the results of World War II. They will not keep the Crimea. The fact that we stopped supplying fresh water there, showed that there will be an environmental disaster, "he said..

According to Arestovich, it is difficult to keep the peninsula, first of all, from the economic point of view.

"Every day of the retention of the Crimea, the Russian economy, which is under sanctions and structural changes that are not good for it, the construction of the Crimean bridge, supplies there - this is another millstone around the neck of the Russian Federation. This is very costly, "- said the observer.

In addition, he drew attention to the growing discontent with the occupation administration among the local population.

"In Kerch, despite the bravura statements of the leadership of the Russian Federation, at an official protest rally, it sounded that Ukraine was better off. That is, five more years and everyone will understand everything there..

If we receive the MAP in NATO during this time, we will get the Marshall plan, and the Donbasians and Crimeans will scratch their turnips and will very much want to return to Ukraine, "the expert believes..

At the same time he added that in 5-10 years to return the peninsula to Ukraine is quite realistic.

As reported by the "Observer", earlier historian Alexander Paliy said that the Russians in the captured Crimea were, are and remain an alien people.

Join the "Observer" group on Facebook, stay tuned!.