Peace negotiations. What you really need to pay attention to.
Conversations in the Trump-Putin-Zelensky triangle cannot be considered in isolation from the main negotiations of the world - the US-China negotiations, especially against the backdrop of a new round of tariff-rare earth aggravation, which is due to start on October 30.
The following is the text in the original language. In Alaska, Putin is smart enough to overturn Trump so that it is possible to negotiate until the fire is set on fire. However, changing the price of the formula is important for understanding further changes. I think the formula: “peace first, and then negotiate” is the main nutrition of the Trump-Zelensky negotiations. Both support and not support – the main answer to nutrition and a healthy world in the near future, at least theoretically.
Trump's strategy is based on a besieged Russia, since without war, Russia is increasingly spending naphtha revenues. In this case, Tomahawks will be deprived of Washington’s biggest horror story: since Russia does not accept war, “Ukrainian Tomahawks” will disrupt naphtha transshipment in the Baltic.
Putin’s strategy has also become increasingly clear – Trump will continue to try to convince Trump of the mythical rare earth species in Russia. At the same time, Putin tells his own horror stories: he demonstrates that he is actively preparing for mobilization. And demonstrates what we can hit Europe. His goal is to exchange a calm NATO for Ukraine. Our task is to prevent this from happening.
Putin’s main line now – Donbass. You can only start a war without control over Donbass out of fear for your life.
Zustrich in Budapest (whether it happens or not, it doesn’t matter) – Trump’s secret game. On the one hand, they support Orban ahead of the 2026 presidential elections.
All in all, the main goal is to remove the “springboard” from the negotiations before the negotiations with China. Russia cannot be a 100% satellite of China at this moment. Ideally, Trump would like to deny any option to the world. If you don’t leave, then the minimum program is important – not to allow the Russian Federation and China to take a strong position. I want the Americans to clearly overestimate the role of Moscow in the current world history.
Well, as far as the world is concerned, its mortality rate is quite low. I want more for zero.