Analysts of the Center for Oriental Studies named after. Marka Karpiea (state organization under the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Poland) assessed the last days of the war in Ukraine. OSW writes about it.. waw. pl.

According to the analysis, the enemy has not lost the initiative and still continues to hold on in all directions, despite the losses. An open question is how true is the assessment of the forces of the enemy by the Ukrainian side.

It is noted that the Lukashenka-Putin meeting became the object of a Ukrainian information operation focused on Belarusians, which could lead to devastating consequences if Minsk supported the invasion..

The information activity of Ukraine prompted the Belarusian military leadership to declare that Belarus will not support the offensive. Further use by Putin of certain units of the Belarusian army will be a very risky decision, since the Belarusian army has low motivation.

Undermining the sowing campaign, which is impossible on part of the territory of Ukraine due to the war, can provoke a consumer crisis in the world. Restriction of export of minerals will negatively affect the finances of the state. However, limited sowing should not affect the consumer situation in Ukraine.

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GazetaPrawna believes that the assault on Kyiv is possible, but Putin does not have enough resources to maintain control over Ukraine.