"About Putin's Russia or why it is doomed to failure.

I often use the expression Wheel of History. What does this mean in our particular case?.

This means that there are objective, universal laws of human development. The laws of progress, the laws of dialectics. One of them - all empires and nedoimperies crumble sooner or later. This in our case is the Wheel of History.

This in our case means that the historical time has come for Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova (and eventually Belarus and Armenia) to withdraw from the sphere of influence of Russia. This is a geopolitical vector and the trend for a long time. So the World develops. There can not be a nedoimperium that is not innovative, which can not offer anything to the World, which simply pumps out the remains of gas and oil and takes all the money to the West, to be the center of gravity for the neighbors. Can no longer. Earlier, at least it managed to do it with the help of terror and military force, and now this factor ceases to work. The armies are not the same (with a pile of iron, as in the last century), the armies are already technological and mobile, and so on. The last defeat of the Russian Federation in Syria from Americans clearly confirmed this trend.

But Russia does not want to let Ukraine go to the West-NATO and the EU. Russia can be understood, because without Ukraine, Russia is not an empire. And after Ukraine will want to leave Ichkeria, Tatarstan, etc. and Russia - is not even a nedoimperia.

That is, Russia, not letting go of Ukraine, goes against the Wheel of History. And this explains why the local, imaginary, tactical pseudo-conquests of Russia in the strategic plan turn into defeats. For a long distance.

Russia captured with Assad Palmira in Syria, but this only rallied and tended to own more strength in Syria and in the world.

Russia captured the Crimea and the Donbas, but it acquired several generations of enemies in Ukraine. Woke up the sleeping self-consciousness in Ukraine, the will to a new round of struggle for Independence, "created" Ukraine's strongest army, received 14 packages of sanctions from the US and so on.

Russia intervened in the elections in the US and led its candidate to the highest office, but received America's insight. Trump received such a hot frying pan that the US takes anti-Russian decisions more often and more effectively than with Obama.

And so on and so forth. You can continue the list yourself. But the point is that you can not deceive the laws of nature. Russia is trying to keep the Wheel with its hands and the Wheel is therefore forced to roll faster and more powerfully.

It's simple.

This is physics, "summed up Ponomarev.