The Russian offensive on Bakhmut has weakened in recent days and seems to be approaching its climax.. In December and November, the combined Russians in the Bakhmut area advanced even less than in October - basically, as soon as they manage to advance somewhere, they are soon successfully thrown back by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This is stated in the report of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) for December 24.
According to ISW analysts, the fact that Ukrainian troops in the Bakhmut region managed to slow down the pace of the Russian advance around Bakhmut and its nearby settlements was recognized even by Russian military bloggers.. In addition, one of them claimed that the Ukrainian troops rejected the Wagnerites from the position they occupied a few days ago..
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“Russian forces made somewhat smaller advances in the Bakhmut area in November and December combined compared to October,” the ISW report says, “Russian forces are likely to find it difficult to maintain the pace of their offensive operations in the Bakhmut area and may attempt to.
There are several reasons for this, for example, the lack of artillery ammunition, losses and lack of forces.
“The limitations of the Russian military in personnel and ammunition, most likely, will not allow them to maintain a high pace of offensive operations in the Bakhmut region in the short term,” ISW analysts also write.. “Continued and costly Russian pressure on Bakhmut could also impair Russia’s ability to achieve long-term goals in the Donbas theater.”.
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Recall that back in early December, ISW experts, analyzing the situation near Bakhmut, concluded that the Russians had not learned the lessons of war. They continuously attacked the city, exhausting their units in vain..