The front in Ukraine has stabilized, the Russian army has taken an operational pause, and Russia is preparing measures to mobilize the economy. This indicates that the Kremlin is preparing for a long war. Analysts of the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) came to such conclusions.
They noted that on July 6 in Ukraine for the first time in 133 days of the war there were no declared or assessed Russian territorial achievements.. This confirms that Russian troops have basically begun an operational pause.
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“The Russian Ministry of Defense has daily claimed territorial gains since the start of the war, but has not announced any new territory or movement of ground forces since the completion of the encirclement of Lisichanskaya on July 3rd,” the July 6th ISW report says.. “Russian forces are likely to limit themselves to relatively small offensive operations in an attempt to create the conditions for larger offensive operations and restore the combat power needed to carry out these more ambitious tasks.”.
US analysts also say the Kremlin is preparing a so-called crypto-mobilization of the Russian economy for a prolonged war against Ukraine.. They are preparing legislation that will allow officials to recall employees on personal leave, postpone leave without the consent of the employee and require employees to work on weekends, holidays and nights.. These measures allow the Kremlin to exert direct control over most aspects of the Russian economy, including the suspension of the rights and protection of some workers who would normally have.
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Key takeaways:.
The Russian Ministry of Defense has not announced any territorial gains since July 3, confirming an assessment that Russian forces are pursuing an operational pause while continuing to engage in limited ground attacks to set the stage for more significant offensive operations..
The Kremlin continues to prepare for a prolonged war, creating conditions for the crypto-mobilization of the economy and in many ways initiating an operational pause in Ukraine.
Russian troops conducted offensive operations to the northwest and east of Slovyansk.
Russian troops continued to move west towards Seversky from the border of Luhansk and Donetsk regions.
Russian troops continued their attempts to attack Bakhmut from the south.
Russian troops made limited ground attacks north of Kharkov.
Russian troops conducted an unsuccessful ground assault in the north-west of the Kherson region.
Perhaps Ukrainian troops are creating conditions for a counteroffensive on Kherson.
Russian troops may form a new military unit in Mulino, Nizhny Novgorod region.
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Recall, according to the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Oleksiy Danilov, about a million citizens were involved in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine..