Ukrainian military science from radiotechnology and connection Serhiy Flash dated September 18, 2026, having published a military-technical analysis of samples from the Russian Federation..

The analyst assessed the exact pace of space launches, the logistics of rocket production and the possible legacy for the Russian space program after attacks by Ukrainian long-range Flamingo missiles on strategic enterprises.

Architecture of the larynx: Soyuz-2 noses. 1b"

Project “Dawn” is a key element of the Kremlin’s program to secure the Russian army with satellite communications and data transmission on the front lines. Until now, all successful launches of these devices have been launched from the Plesetsk cosmodrome with the help of the Soyuz-2 launch vehicle. 1b"

According to Sergius Flesch, the technical mathematics of the larynx seems to be in its infancy:.

Capacity of one launch: one Soyuz-2 rocket. 1b\;

Basic grouping: to form a minimally dense viscosity coating, occupiers need to complete 12 to 15 successful launches (240–300 units in total);

Alternative cosmodromes: Plesetsk Crimea, derived noses are theoretically possible from Maidanchiki Baikonur (Kazakhstan) and Skhidniy (Amur region of the Russian Federation).

The influx of Flamingo missile strikes onto the Soyuz-2 production facility. 1b"

The critical impact of the Russian space program is the high concentration of labor force. Almost all components of the Soyuz-2 rocket. 1b"

Wanting the exact stage of the collapse and its influx on the schedule of the upcoming missions “Dawn” is deprived of the subject of business intelligence, Flash respects that for the complete consolidation of such a gigantic industrial facility the required. In addition, some of the already collected carrier rockets or their stages can be obtained from transport logistics or stored directly in the warehouses of cosmodromes.

An exotic alternative for the Russian Federation is losing the importance of the Angara-A5 missile, which was launched in Omsk at the Pollot nuclear power plant.. At the same time, this rocket is launched in a limited series (close to one launch per river) and, potentially, it is possible to launch up to 60 satellites at a time, it is obvious that the ready-made station is under power supply.

Verified matrix of satellite noses “Dawn”.

The table provides a comprehensive analysis of the rocket and space potential of the Russian Federation for the development of orbital grouping.

Parameter / Nosy.

" 1b"

"

Virobnichy Maidanchik.

RCC "

VO " Omsk).

Number of satellites per launch.

20 units “Rassvet”.

Up to 60 Rassvet units.

Launch intensity.

Serial production (kilka per rik).

During rare launches (1 time per river).

Main cosmodromes.

Plesetsk, Baikonur, Skhidny.

Plesetsk, Skhidny.

Logistics flow.

Deposit at a single glider plant near Samara.

Folding cycle for collecting, lining a number of noses.

HiTech Expert Take.

Analysis by Sergei Flesch confirms that the Russian analogue of Starlink is being transformed into another critical point in constant technology. The attempt to create a sovereign satellite network “Dawn” rests not so much on the collection of the devices themselves, but on the logistical depths of the missile conveyor. Successful attacks on the Progress RSC with the help of Flamingo missiles and the butt of the asymmetric doctrine of Deep Strike: instead of trying to jam satellites with REB in orbit, the ZSU deplete the carrier rockets directly in their production workshops.

Systematically reducing the enemy's ability to destroy space systems, the linkage reduces his army's persistent strength, making it difficult to create a full-fledged military control circuit.

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