America is ready to invest in Syria's post-war reconstruction to thereby force President Bashar Assad to quickly transfer power to his successor. The corresponding strategy, prepared by the staff of the Brookings Institution - retired General John Allen and Michael O'Hanlon - was published in the journal National Interest (NI).

Experts estimated that the restoration of Syria will need at least $ 100 billion in the first year after the end of hostilities. There is no such money either from the official Damascus, or from its allies - Russia and Iran. Therefore, they will have to make concessions and seek a compromise in settlement issues with Western and Arab countries, writes "Expert".

The economy of Syria is destroyed to the ground. The war cost the country $ 226 billion, experts of the World Bank. A quarter of residential buildings and half of the social facilities are destroyed. If the war is stopped this year, in four years Syria will be able to restore 41% of its pre-war GDP. If the shooting continues, this figure will rapidly decrease. Therefore, it is necessary to stop the fire and negotiate with the opposing sides now.

The authors of the new strategy suggest using the collective West Arab economic lever to end the conflict. The main task of the economic strategy is to convince Bashar Assad to transfer power to the successor, in whose elections he too can take part. The main requirement is that the successor should have a more or less pure reputation.

Analysts suggest that the central authority in Syria should not be changed immediately, but gradually invest in the reconstruction of certain areas. Now the only area ripe for economic assistance, Allen and O'Hanlon consider the Kurdish north of Syria. Another potential candidate is the eastern regions, where the defeat of the Islamic state banned in Russia created a power vacuum. However, if this area goes under the control of Damascus or Tehran, then he will not receive financial assistance. The strategy envisages providing economic assistance in restoring the economy and infrastructure only to those areas that are under the control of pro-Western forces.

The difference in living standards, which can be quickly achieved with the help of Western and Arab billions, believe the authors of the strategy, will help the Syrians see the need to change power. This, in turn, will push Assad to the transfer of power.

Damascus will continue to receive humanitarian assistance for areas in which fighting ceases. This will be an additional reason for the incumbent government to end the civil war as soon as possible.

The strategy, which, perhaps, will eventually be adopted by official Washington demands from all participants of the Syrian conflict concessions and compromises. The United States, for example, and their allies, as well as Moscow, will have to accept partial participation of Bashar Assad in choosing a successor.

The authors of the strategy pay great attention to the inadmissibility of strengthening the role of Iran in the east of post-war Syria. The main role in deterring the aggressive intentions of Tehran, they are assigned to Turkey.

The authors of the strategy believe that their plan will help to remove the most contentious issue in the relationship between Moscow and Washington - about the fate of Bashar Assad and the change of power in Syria - to the background. In fact, to replace Assad from now on is not supposed to be military, but financially and economically.