A rise in price of more than 3.5 UAH/l in just a few weeks - a record price in recent years and the second highest in at least 14 years. So autogas ended 2025 and began 2026. At the end of the last working week (January 9. – Ed. ) Gas stations sold this fuel for an average of 37.95 UAH/l. And all that interests car owners with LPG is whether the psychological mark of 40 UAH/l will be broken.

For a long time, prices for autogas were stably at the level of 34.3-34.4 UAH/l, at times jumping to more than 34.5 UAH, but also falling below 34.2 UAH/l. Until November 24, according to the A-95 Consulting Group, the average cost of a resource did not reach 34.99 UAH, which is immediately 40 kopecks. exceeded the previous figure.

After another 2 days, fuel cost 35.05 UAH/l. However, already on November 28, its price dropped to 34.29 UAH/l, so everything looked like an ordinary situational surge.

However, already on December 1, the price returned to the average level of 35.05 UAH/l. And after that, with the exception of a few days – primarily “Christmas”, when networks could hold promotions – the.

Now autogas costs almost 38 UAH/l. It was higher only at the beginning of a full-scale war, when, against the backdrop of panic, kilometer-long queues at gas stations and restrictions on the sale of fuel at 10 liters per tank, prices were fixed at more than 42 UAH/l.

Thus, a multi-year price maximum was established.

In expert circles, the main reason that prompted gas stations to “drive up” prices is the new excise taxes on fuel. They came into force on January 1 - and amounted to:.

At the same time, market experts assure: the situation with the availability of autogas has not affected its cost. After all, Omelchenko emphasizes, “there is no information that there is a shortage of this fuel”.

Moreover, Sirenko assures, even Russia’s strikes on the bridge in the Odessa region, which leads to Izmail, did not affect the state of affairs. It is through it, as Dmitry Leushkin, the founder of the Prime group of companies, previously explained, that 60% of the fuel the country needs is immediately supplied to the market. " Collapse has not happened and, I hope, will not happen,” the expert noted.

According to him, the country managed to avoid a deficit thanks to the fact that importers were able to adapt to war conditions long ago - and are making contracts for a long time in advance.. Therefore, it is no longer the same as before, when fuel was imported from geographically close Russia and Belarus “for a week – and that was already a lot”.

" That's why we have large volumes. And these routes, if such risks arise, can be redirected,” explained the specialist.

At the same time, A-95 gasoline cost an average of 58.44 UAH/l in mid-November, and now its cost is 58.24 UAH/l. That is, no noticeable changes occurred even despite excise taxes.

Diesel cost on average 57.32 UAH/l, and now – 58.3 UAH/l. The increase was almost 1 UAH - more than that of gasoline, but significantly less than that of autogas. On the other hand, since the beginning of the year - and the start of new excise taxes - according to analysts, prices have generally moved within 1-2 kopecks. /l.

The fact is, Sirenko explained, that the autogas market is different from the gasoline and diesel market. And if you can make reserves of the latter and thus avoid a sharp rise in prices, then with LNG (liquefied natural gas) it is much more difficult to do this.

" He bargains more on wheels. Therefore, the price in wholesale has become higher since January 1,” the expert said.

Another factor, according to Omelchenko, is margin. As already noted, it is lower for autogas than for gasoline and diesel. And therefore “there are no special opportunities to reduce prices”.

In addition, he noted that, unlike gasoline and diesel, autogas is less dependent on oil. Accordingly, Omelchenko stated, even low prices for this resource have less impact on LNG.

In general, the expert admitted, the current situation is completely left to the market. After all, the state has actually withdrawn from this issue.

“The Antimonopoly Committee – it seems to exist, but it’s as if it doesn’t exist. Probably because he is incapacitated - the manager is under investigation there. Therefore, the state does not react in any way,” the expert sums up.

Sirenko shares the same opinion.. He notes: now in Ukraine there are no “both people and the body that should communicate with the market”.

“Neither the Ministry of Energy nor the Ministry of Economy has been doing this for several years.. The latter used to have a department for prices, and they decided something there. Now all this has been cancelled,” he says..

Omelchenko believes that a further significant increase in autogas prices is unlikely. According to him, the cost of the resource:.

However, he notes, the situation may be affected by unpredictable external factors. For example, the continued depreciation of the hryvnia.

" But if the situation with the exchange rate is more or less stable, then I don’t see that we can expect another sharp jump,” he emphasizes.

Thus, Omelchenko predicts, in the near future the cost of autogas may fluctuate within +/- 5% of the current price. Sirenko is less optimistic. He believes that autogas still has potential for growth. However, not as significant compared to what has already taken place.

\? The calculator shows that the minimum plus 1.

5 UAH should be per liter. But this is relative to the wholesale price,” he expects.

However, the analyst notes, due to market conditions, the wholesale price may decrease. Moreover, he emphasizes, now there is every reason to believe that this particular scenario will be realized, because “auctions were held the other day, and their prices were slightly lower than last week.”. Therefore, it is possible that over time “the average price will not exceed 36 UAH/l”.