The dollar will jump in September

27 August 2018, 12:16 | Economy
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At the end of last week, the Russian currency managed to stop the catastrophic fall and consolidate below 70 rubles per dollar and 80 rubles per euro. However, in early September the situation may deteriorate again, and then it will be very difficult for the ruble to stay within the established limits. Today's trading day on the Moscow Stock Exchange began a new decline.

As of 10:08 MSK, for a unit of American currency was given 67.35 rubles, which is 25 cents more than yesterday's closing level. The euro exchange rate at the same time increased by 23 kopecks, to 78.18 rubles. All this is happening against the backdrop of falling oil quotations. In the morning, the October futures contract on Brent crude fell by 0.17%, to $ 76 per barrel. The bad "state of health" of the Russian currency is due, mainly, to the negative external background. On Wednesday, August 22, the US announced the introduction of another portion of anti-Russian sanctions caused by Moscow's alleged involvement in the poisoning of former GRU officer Sergei Skripal and his daughter Julia. The export to Russia of electronic devices of dual purpose. This rule comes into force today, August 27. The RF Ministry of Finance temporarily refused currency interventions, and this somewhat supports the ruble afloat. But these actions for a long time will not be able to keep the ruble in check. Under the influence of sanctions, the Russian currency will palpably perchayet, believes the head of the analytical department of the company "Finist" Ekaterina Tumanova. "How will the ruble react to these sanctions? Let's remember how it was before. About sanctions inform - our currency is getting cheaper by about 5 rubles. Further, the price denotes a price corridor in the range of two rubles. After 14 days, the restrictions come into force - the consolidation range is shifted by another two or three rubles against the Russian currency and remains so until the announcement of the following sanctions, "- says the expert" Rossiyskaya Gazeta ". If everything goes according to the same scenario (and the fall of the ruble began on August 8, when the world first learned about the sanctions for the "business of the Violins"), then during the week the ruble's price will remain in the price corridors 67.5-80.5 and 78 -80.5 for the dollar and the euro, respectively. This will be a kind of respite before a new round of stress development. In September, the situation may again worsen. Next month, US lawmakers will leave the holidays and begin to discuss a second, much more serious, package of measures. If adopted, it will put more serious pressure on our currency and on the whole on the Russian market. At the peak of the voltage, we can see the value of 71 rubles per dollar and 80.9 rubles per euro.

Another attempt to annoy Russia will be the initiative of the Congress on taking restrictive measures against the participants of the Nord Stream-2 project,. European authorities and companies have previously said that they will not be deterred by the construction of the gas pipeline. If they continue to show determination, the United States can hold horses and refuse to impose sanctions. If Washington succeeds in breaking Europeans who previously changed their minds more than once, then Nord Stream 2 will be under threat, and the Russian economy will receive a whole bunch of new sanctions.




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