The US authorities are making active efforts to strengthen the national currency. They managed to convince investors that there is nothing terrible in raising the key rate. As a result, the value of the dollar may grow significantly next week, which will negatively affect the ruble exchange rate. The US Federal Reserve said that raising rates will help strengthen the labor market and reduce inflation. As a result, the yield on US bonds rose. In the long term, this increases the attractiveness of dollar investments and, as a result, improves the dollar's position in the foreign exchange market, says Tatyana Evdokimova, an analyst at Nordea Bank.. However, so far the value of the ruble remains stable. On the last day of trading before the long weekend, its rate remained virtually unchanged from the previous session. This picture has been observed for several days. After the positive and negative factors were balanced, the fluctuations of the exchange rate ceased. By 13:00 Moscow time on the Moscow stock exchange, the American currency was worth 56.76 rubles. - exactly the same as the day before. In the morning part of the auction, the value of the dollar did not change more than 5 kopecks. round trip. The Euro behaves more briskly: first its value fell by 12 kopecks. , then returned to zero. Now the European currency has risen in price to the Russian on 4 copecks. Its current rate is 69.77 rubles.
The Russian currency in recent days behaves quite apathetic, languidly reacting to the external background, leads the portal "Banks. ru "opinion of the senior analyst of the company" Alpari "Roman Tkachuk. Global changes in the surrounding world do not occur, and against small and habitual stimuli the ruble has already developed immunity.
In addition, positive and negative news neutralizes each other. The first is the proximity of the tax period (exporters actively sell the currency and buy rubles), the expectation of an increase in the rating of Russia by Standard & Poor's agency (the higher the rating, the more willing foreigners buy rubles and Russian securities) and expensive oil (the higher the price, the higher receipts to the Russian treasury).
The second is the strengthening of the dollar in world markets, a decrease in investor interest in the currencies of developing countries, some weakening of interest in federal loan bonds (investors seem to have overstated the securities and are now "digesting" them), as well as active buying up of foreign currency by the RF Ministry of Finance the authorities continue to fill the money-box with black money with super profits from the sale of rising oil and gas prices).
In the coming days, as expected, the ruble will continue its peaceful sleep. Shake it can only be a sharp jump in oil prices: if the reserves of black gold in the US will be higher than expected, oil will fall in price, and along with it, the ruble will fall. True, the fall will be non-catastrophic: the Russian currency, and along with it, all Russians will get off only by a mild fright.