The end of the world is just the beginning 3. US era and. Ukraine Based on Zeihan's analysis of geopolitics in the next twenty years, I concluded that this is the era of the United States and Ukraine. Zeyhan himself wrote little in the book about Ukraine, since he completed it on the eve of the Russian invasion. But in the preface to the Ukrainian edition, he wrote, in particular, the following: “In the maelstrom of the numerous horrors of the war in Ukraine lies a simple truth: if Kyiv survives, then Ukrainians will be the first in the whole world to gain experience of functioning in a world that has undergone fundamental changes.
The following is the text in the original language. At the same time, there are two more factors that indicate our prospects for the future: food and security. Zeyhan writes that food will be one of the greatest cries of humanity in the future. Through climate change and the collapse of trade routes, the region will begin to experience famine. An important factor is goodness, access to certain areas and conditions of globalization today.. Ukraine, which was a super-agrarian country before the war, can renew its potential and occupy this niche for entire regions. If we want climate change to interfere with us, this potential will be lost.
Another is our role in security. The US exit will help ensure the safety of maritime trade routes, as well as military transactions in the region. Looming one of the found armies, we can visit the place in which. We can start guarding merchant ships with drones, carry out operations together with partners in other countries with critical resources, etc.. And deduct from this colossal financial dividends. It is clear that effective and successful coalitions with different countries can be achieved in the near future, between NATO, which is unlikely to happen in the near future.
In fact, Ukraine can follow Zeyhan in key positions of the upcoming era. Ale is one ale.
The key thing I don’t like with Zeyhan is his underestimation of the level of organization. I respect that the origin of a nation before organization is as important as demography and geopolitics. The organization itself shows that these clicks can be paid for. Marvel at the Scandinavian countries, which, despite the great demography, have had successful marriages, and at the example of the same Deep Korea, which, without any looming necessary changes of mind, has rushed to the leading edges of the world. Organization is at least a key factor in the success and failure of a nation. And this is where some of the biggest clicks lie for us.
Like a butt, the Iranian war created a threat to Iranian drones. However, we were not able to adequately occupy this niche, because we were blocked from exporting! So we can say that we have already wasted such a great chance. Or Ukrainian private military companies with veterans could eventually reach the support of the Arab countries. But this did not happen, because such companies are fenced off in Ukraine! This is an example of how weak organization, a marriage of strategic thinking and consistency will ruin our chances.