Will staging an assassination attempt on Orban help him win elections in Hungary

Today, 19:58 | Peace
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The influential American publication The Washington Post published an article by British investigative journalist Catherine Belton “To tilt Hungarian election, Russians proposed staging assassination attempt.”.

The following is the text in the original language. In it, she succinctly says: “Officers of the intelligence service, or the SVR, assumed that there might be necessary decisive actions - a strategy they called “Change the Group”. In an internal report for the SVR, recorded and recorded by the European intelligence service and reviewed by The Washington Post, operatives proposed a way to “fundamentally change the entire paradigm of the election campaign” –.

“Such an incident will replace the campaign from the rational sphere of socio-economic nutrition to the emotional one, and the key themes will be state security and stability and the protection of the political system,” the operatives wrote in the report,.

Further, Katherine Belton writes: “There have been no physical attacks on Orban, whose popularity has fallen due to the deteriorating economic situation.”. And the very thought of organizing a swing at Orban’s life reinforces how high the stakes are for Moscow in the Ugric races.

Attack at the time of 2024 fate, at the hour of which Donald Trump sealed the sack of a potential killer, calling before the appearance of his iconic photographs, praise for his durability and the rapid growth of his rating in surveys, especially among the main patients."

The emergence of sensational information about the preparation or consideration of a scenario aimed at Viktor Orban as an instrument of the “Change the Gru” strategy on the side of the Russian special services (SVR) is indicative of the stagnation of political violence. This episode demonstrates Moscow’s transition from the strategy of “soft power” or information infusion to radical mechanical input into the political architecture of the European Union.

Considering this sound, it is important to understand the logic of dictator Putin’s regime. For the intelligence services of the Russian Federation, the staged attack on Viktor Orban may lead to the transfer of the election process in Ugorshchina and the discrediting of Ukraine in the international arena.

As soon as it was conceived, Muscovites began to blame him as a means to discredit the Ukrainian special services, imposing blame on them for this terrorist attack.. It wouldn’t be enough to provoke an emotional upheaval in Ugorshchina and the conservative middle of Europe, which would still ruin the unity of NATO and the European Union.

It is doubtful that the “Change the Group” strategy will indicate that traditional methods have exhausted the Kremlin. If diplomatic pressure and disinformation campaigns do not bring about the desired pace of collapse of Euro-Atlantic solidarity, intelligence services are trying to create a “black swan” - a possibility that will radically change the order of the day..

And this can be classified as an attempt to trigger a systemic shock that paralyzes rational decision-making and transfers the political process in Ugorshchina to chaos and mutual influence.

At the same time, the very fact of the current flow of information about Moscow’s plans, through European intelligence until seen by The Washington Post, is an element of a real operational counter-intelligence game. Even though the publicization of plans de facto cancels their effectiveness, since any incident with the Ugric Prime Minister is now automatically viewed through the prism of the Russian scenario.

This creates a situation of strategic streaming through publicity: Russia is using the ability to use this tool without the risk of being militarily victorious. In this way, we are preventing the transformation of intelligence data from the current political regime, which preventively blocks the most radical scenarios of the Kremlin for elections in Ugorshchina.

Also, the publication of intelligence data through The Washington Post confirms the residual legitimization of the strategy of “preventive publicity” as a tool of hybrid streaming. This act is not just a flow of information, but a direct counter-intelligence operation that transforms classic secret diplomacy in the open space of information.

The main mechanics of this process lies in the overwhelming rapt factor, which is critically important for the implementation of the Kremlin’s terrorist scenarios. If plans for destabilization or physical suppression of political figures (in this context of the Ukrainian Prime Minister) become public annoyances, they will waste their operational value.

It is obvious that any further attempt to implement such a scenario will automatically be labeled as Russian aggression, which reduces Moscow’s ability to act under “someone else’s ensign” or chalk it all up to a quirk.

This strategy creates the effect of an “information panopticon”, where the aggressor learns that his skin is under constant control, and the results of which can be seen publicly at any moment.

There is a transformation of intelligence data, they are being converted from passive resources to make decisions on active political measures for preventive action.. Since the planned attack on the Ukrainian Prime Minister Viktor Orban became public, it radically changes the architecture of European security. Instead of responding to the consequences of incidents, research efforts through media channels block the very possibility of their culpability.

Publicity in this context acts as a form of strategic streaming, which tempts the Kremlin to face the greatest risks of operations through the inevitability of a rally and further political.

As a result, we are witnessing a transition from traditional intelligence activity to a public psychological war, where dominance in the information space allows us to dictate the minds of real politics and.

This process can be defined as “preventive intelligence surveillance,” which transforms secret information into public political assets, which radically changes the rules of the game in the minds of a hybrid environment with totalitarian systems and theirs..

The fall from the discord of plans to swing at Viktor Orban is a classic example of the implementation of the doctrine of “strategic insight”, where intelligence becomes a tool of information hybrid war,.

Intelligence data is no longer just information, but is transformed into active input into modern policy and public diplomacy. Previously, the traditional security model conveyed a reactive nature of actions: the incident is traced - intelligence identifies the culprit - politicians impose sanctions. The current model inverts this logic. Publication of the enemy's plans already at the stage of their operational operations eliminates one of the key advantages - "

If the Russian dictator Putin or any other totalitarian ruler informs that his skin is about to break out and there will be mitten lightening in the light media with an exact connection to the Viconavians,.

The situation is responsible for the development of the development of the desire to move from the role of passive guardians to the role of active architects of the information space, dictating the order of the day.

This mediatization of intelligence results in the function of a strategic captor. This creates a situation for which the operation is involved becomes cumbersome due to the loss of the effect of incompetence. This makes it difficult for the aggressor to push towards more conservative methods or else risk escalation.

Nowadays, it is time to witness the deep crisis of traditional espionage: in the light of total digitalization and insight, the disappearance of money ceases to be a reliable currency. The importance of dominance in the cognitive sphere, the ability to reconcile the audience and opponents of the power of omniscience, becomes a real important force.

This is a transition to the format of a “public cognitive war”, where victory is achieved not on the battlefield and not on the sidelines of the special services, but in the headlines of news reports that preventively disrupt the enemy’s operational plans.

What radically changes European security, the security circuit now passes not only along the cordons of powers, but also along the borders of information security and the ability of intelligence services to Swiss communications.

Publicity becomes a form of protection that neutralizes threats in their infancy, ensuring political isolation of the aggressor is inevitable even before the moment of committing evil.. As a result, a new world order is being formed, information advancement is beginning to compete with the traditional military pressure and economic dominance.

If border solidarity is based on hard data and digital diplomacy, it appears to be a great thing. Publicity is a dictatorial monopoly on the interpretation of the concept, which Moscow is constantly engaged in, making the price of aggression uncomfortably high through the immediate loss of reputation and economic capital.

The ability of a power to control the global environment today is a key element of sovereignty. It is impossible to resist aggression without catastrophic consequences for the regime that transforms information dominance into the streaming tool.



In the era of the Mittel expansion of information, information transfer becomes as reliable a shield as protection. If the power of Volodya initiates in the media, then any evil aggressor will automatically attract an inevitable retribution..

And although information domination does not meet the needs of the world, it radically changes its role: from the main instrument it is immediately transformed to protect the reality that has already been created.




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