Azerbaijan can increase pressure on Russia in the issue of compensation for a plane shot down in December 2024, if relations between Moscow and Washington go to exacerbate, the President of the XXI Strategy Center Mikhail Gonchar forecasts the President of the Globalistics Center.

“If Trump introduces new sanctions against Russia, then Aliyev will behave more decisively. If Washington softens the position in relation to Moscow, then Baku will act more cunning, ”he said in the commentary to the observer of the Department of International Policy Vladimir Kravchenko in the article“ Russian Rules no longer work. What is happening between Baku and Moscow "

The expert does not exclude that the Kremlin, despite its weakening, can also make a return blow, but the Russian special services are unlikely.

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Kravchenko indicates that the connection with the Russian special services of the closure of the “Russian house” in Baku is one of the methods of pressure from the Azerbaijani authorities.

In turn, the Deputy Director of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies Sergei Danilov suggests that Aliyev will try to prevent pre -Russian politicians and activists, and the special services will gradually begin Russian agents in Azerbaijan. On the other hand, Baku recently defiantly announced the allocation of humanitarian assistance to Ukraine in a total of 1 million dollars.

In response, Russia can stop the import of Azerbaijani vegetables and fruits and begin the oppression of the Azerbaijani diaspora, but if Russia apologizes, Azerbaijan will be happy to put an end to this issue. Now they do not plan to deviate from their fundamental position in Baku in the issue.

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Recall that on the morning of December 25, a plane crash occurred near the Kazakhstan city of Aktau, in which 38 passengers died.

The Ambraer 190 airline Azerbaijan Airlines executed a flight from Baku to the Russian city of Grozny. There were 67 people aboard.

The head of the Kremlin Vladimir Putin, in a telephone conversation with Aliyev, said that " The President of Azerbaijan later said that the plane was disabled by electronic warfare and sheated from the ground. He emphasized that in the tragedy, representatives of the Russian Federation from Moscow are guilty of justice, punishment of guilty, complete transparency and human behavior.