The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas is very shaky, with each side apparently interpreting it differently. The terrorist group could not be completely eliminated, but support from its population will decline if peace continues.
" Therefore, the restraint or nervousness that we observed can, in fact, be explained by this distrust. And it is, of course, difficult to comply with an agreement if the parties keep stones in their bosoms or a big deal in their pockets. Each side obviously interprets this agreement differently,” the expert is confident.
Hamas is probably hoping to turn the situation in its favor. However, if the three stages of this peace agreement are implemented, then the terrorists will be forced to give up power.
A kind of technical government will be created in the Gaza Strip. It can be formed from representatives of the Palestinian Authority, as well as, possibly, representatives of the UAE, Qatar, Egypt, that is, those countries that will be directly involved in the restoration of Gaza and the creation of institutions.
" No, I think he will be partially integrated into these new structures, already as technical workers. This will give a new portion of criticism from Israel that, you see, Hamas remains.
Here you need to look at things realistically. The reality is that after a year and a half of war, Israel has not been able to break Hamas.. Despite the fact that he seemed to completely destroy their entire infrastructure,” Semivolos noted.
For example, over the past six months, internal mobilization of the male population into the ranks of Hamas has increased. " The number of casualties, Israeli military losses, wounded and dead, is also growing,” he added..
But the expert said the key problem was that from the very beginning of this war, Israel had no plan for what would happen to Gaza after.
" If there is no war, then obviously support for Hamas will decline. Not because someone will stop seeing Hamas as fighters for Palestinian freedom, but because Hamas will cease to be a government. For the majority of the population they will no longer be interesting,” Semivolos is sure.
In his opinion, this is a very pragmatic approach, but it works. Therefore, if a technical government appears after a while, Hamas will no longer distribute resources and will lose competition with it.
“But it takes time,” Semivolos said..
In the evening, Hamas handed over three Israeli women who had been held captive for 471 days to the Red Cross for return home.. The hostages are 31, 28 and 24 years old. The terrorists, releasing the captives, gave them “gift bags”.