“Black swans” are incredible, world-changing events.. Politico has collected 15 such events that could change life in 2025. As the publication writes, these events may not happen, but they should not be immediately discarded. Here are the most interesting predictions. . Trump's decision leads to a surge in other separatist movements. Texas and California demand secession from the United States. Rallies are being held in different states, the police are using rubber bullets to restrain demonstrators, there are people killed. New Infectious Outbreak This scenario describes an outbreak of an infectious disease “in a small rural community that is poorly vaccinated.”. The symptoms of the disease, as Politico writes, are similar to the flu, but test results exclude both it and Covid. Meanwhile, the disease spreads, local authorities are reluctant to introduce countermeasures, and social networks are filled with misinformation.. It turns out that there is an experimental vaccine, but emergency use authorization is needed, and health officials cannot come to an agreement. Outbreak reaches epidemic proportions in the US, other countries ban Americans from entering, disease " Putin-Trump deal Politico scenario suggests Vladimir Putin could offer Donald Trump a secret deal that would stop Tehran's nuclear weapons development. As part of this deal, Putin will convince Iran to agree to a five-year pause in development, and Trump will dissuade Israel from attacking Iran by conveying to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a promise from Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to normalize relations provided Jerusalem renounces an attack.. However, Trump, as Politico writes, will not know that Putin had to agree to send advanced air defense systems to Iran a year later in the event of an Israeli attack. Overthrow of Lukashenko “The people of Belarus can gain freedom”, taking advantage of the fact that Vladimir Putin will not be able to help Alexander Lukashenko, writes Politico. Putin's position will be weakened if Ukraine joins NATO or enters into an agreement with the United States on security guarantees. Politico also still does not rule out that Russia could be defeated on the battlefield. Unexpected alliances A technological leap and significant growth in new sectors of the economy will lead to a global review of relations between countries, writes Politico.
It may include a realignment of US relations with Europe and the Middle East.. Increased productivity in India and Africa will change the global economic and political landscape. In addition, Politico experts admit a fundamental change in the socio-political structure of the Middle East if Trump can organize a cessation of hostilities in regions such as the Gaza Strip, Syria and South Lebanon, and mediate a movement towards peace and stability.
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