The war of conquest unleashed by Vladimir Putin in Ukraine may cost him too much. The so-called special operation was an absolute strategic failure and deprived the Kremlin of " The miscalculations of the leadership of the Russian Federation turned even countries dependent on Russian energy carriers against the aggressor. This opinion was expressed by the defense expert of the front line of the Scowcroft Center Arun Iyer in an interview with Forbes journalists..

In his opinion, Putin did not count on the unity of the West that we see now.. He made fundamental mistakes, not taking into account the lessons of recent US conflicts in Afghanistan, Iraq and other countries.. First of all, we are talking about poor intelligence analysis, relying on brute force, underestimating the opponent’s decisiveness and ability to resist..

“Hybrid war is not a knife, but a scalpel. It must be carried out with surgical precision, and this requires trust in intelligence, even if intelligence reports bad news.. The Russian authoritarian management model is poorly adapted to this.. This also led to the loss of control over the information front: Ukraine easily fends off Russian “Z-campaigns” and the “anti-Nazi” narrative on the international stage,” Ayer said..

According to the expert, the United States and its allies should carefully study all the mistakes of Russia and use them in confronting hybrid wars in the future..

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Earlier, another military expert warned that, despite certain successes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the battlefield, the most difficult stage of the war lies ahead for Ukraine..

The international isolation of Russia and the sanctions imposed against it and local politicians have created serious problems for the Russian authorities. But how did they influence Putin? Is it stable today? Has there been a split within the Russian establishment Or, on the contrary, its consolidation is observed? Read the article by Vladimir Kravchenko “Three towers of the Kremlin: what is happening in Putin’s environment” about what the Kremlin is doing now..