On November 8, the so-called midterm elections will be held in the United States, when the entire composition of the House of Representatives and one third of the Senate are re-elected.. In the article “Will Trump take revenge on Biden and will Ukraine lose from this,” Oleg Shamshur explained why these elections are important.

According to him, the significance of these midterm elections to the US Congress is that their results will shape the political landscape of the United States for the next two years and, accordingly, will largely determine the parameters of the 2024 election campaign, in particular, whether there will be a "

It would seem that the negative attitude towards such a scenario of the vast majority of Americans who do not want to see any of them as a presidential candidate (57% of those polled against Trump's candidacy and 60% against Biden), excludes the possibility of a repetition of the duel.. However, as the author of the article notes, the current alignment of forces in the Democratic and Republican parties suggests the opposite..

Most members of the core of the Democratic Party are convinced that it is Biden who has the best chances to defeat Donald Trump again if he decides to run in 2024..

According to Shamshur, the president’s ambitions are also facilitated by the limited leadership reserve of the Democratic Party: the most popular figure from the pool of candidates to replace Joe Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris, with all due respect for her position, cannot be attributed to the most charismatic and effective politicians capable of winning the sympathy of American. Thus, despite his age, Biden has every chance to represent the Democratic Party in the presidential election in 2024, and he has already announced his intention to re-claim the highest position in the state, Shamshur notes..

At the same time, the author stressed that Donald Trump firmly holds control of the Republican Party.. The " Party ideology is transforming according to the views of the radicalized Republican base, which continues to believe in the myth of the "

Donald Trump remains the leader of the Republican Party and, like Biden with the Democrats, is very likely to become its candidate in the presidential race, even with a number of strong competitors, such as Florida Gov. Ronald DeSantis, former Vice President Mike Pence and former US Representative to the UN.

However, Shamshur added that Trump's problems with justice could become an obstacle to this, since the former US president is the subject of a number of proceedings - about his role in the attack on Congress on January 6, 2020, attempts to change the results of the presidential election, business activities before being elected president and illegal possession. It is even suggested that as a result of these investigations, he may be deprived of the right to hold electoral office.. At the same time, the “persecution” of Donald Trump contributes to the further radicalization of his supporters, who direct their discontent against state institutions and the Washington establishment, Shamshur believes.

.

[see_also ids\u003d"

Earlier, Kurt Volker, former Special Representative of the US State Department for Ukraine, Honorary Fellow of the Center for European Policy Analysis, spoke about whether Ukraine could lose US support after the midterm elections.. He believes that even if the Republicans win the next midterm elections to Congress and the Senate, this will not affect the support of Ukraine in the confrontation with the Russian Federation..