Assessment of the Russian offensive campaign for 9 July - ISW

10 July 2022, 13:36 | Peace
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The Kremlin has broader territorial goals than the capture of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, Moscow wants to keep the south of Ukraine, according to the Institute for the Study of War.

Russian troops continued unsuccessful assaults northwest of Slavyansk and offensive operations east of Seversky from the Lisichansk region. the occupiers continued localized attacks northwest of the city of Kharkiv, probably trying to protect the Russian land lines of communication (GLOC) in the area.

Russian forces continue to face shortages of personnel and equipment, relying on outdated armored personnel carriers and launching new recruitment campaigns.

Russian troops continued to put forward conditions for the annexation of Donbass, Kharkiv region and southern Ukraine.

The main direction is Eastern Ukraine.

Main efforts - south of Kharkiv, Donetsk and Luhansk regions (goal of Russia: to surround Ukrainian forces in eastern Ukraine and capture the entire Donetsk and Luhansk regions).

Support Operation #1 – Kharkiv city (Russian objective: to protect ground lines of communication (GLOC) and prevent Ukrainian forces from reaching the Russian border.

Supporting Operation #2 - Southern Axis (Russia's goal: to protect Kherson and Zaporozhye regions from Ukrainian counterattacks).

Russian forces continue to modify their S-300 air defense systems for ground strikes, which, if true, could also indicate that Russian forces on the southern axis are facing a shortage of missiles..

Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts, Russian Goal: Expand Combat Power Without Conducting General Mobilization.

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Activities in Russian-occupied territories. Russia's Goal: Consolidation of Administrative Control over the Occupied Territories; setting conditions for potential annexation to the Russian Federation or any other future political arrangement at Moscow's choice.

Earlier it was reported that Russia is actively ferrying ships in the Black and Azov Seas. About half of them head to the Bosphorus.




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