Russian attack on Poland and Baltic countries is very likely - former director of the National Security Bureau of the Republic o

18 June 2022, 09:50 | Peace
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Russia lost the war on a political and strategic level, but an attack scenario is still possible both for Ukraine and for the Baltic countries, Poland and the entire West. If Putin sees that his escalation doctrine is effective, in a few years he can move further, for example, to the Suwalski corridor, Stanislaw Kozei, former head of the National Security Bureau of Poland, said, according to the Polish edition of Onet..

The mentioned location is a geopolitical term present in NATO terminology, which means the area around Suwalki, connecting the Baltic countries with Poland and other NATO countries. At the same time, it separates the border Kaliningrad region of the Russian Federation and Belarus from Western countries..

At the same time, Kozei has no doubt that Russia will emerge from the war in Ukraine clearly weakened:.

“Its strategic capabilities will decrease, its positions in the international arena will deteriorate significantly, and the standard of living of Russians will fall significantly.. In this sense, we can say that Russia will lose this war, ”the military publication reports..

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Touching upon the issue of the technical equipment of both sides, the official noted that compared to the beginning of the war, the Ukrainians have a lot of modern military equipment from the West.. Russians in this case are the losers, because they rely on outdated, Soviet or post-Soviet equipment.. However, quantitatively, obviously, the Russian Federation still poses a serious threat.



Describing the situation with air security, the official admitted the possibility of missile defense over Western Ukraine, given the proximity of the results of missile strikes to the Polish border:.

“We have arguments to provide preventive insurance and inform Russia about it. If it does not stop attacking our border with long-range missiles, then every day we will introduce anti-missile defense over Western Ukraine,” says the former head of the country’s BNBO.

Recall, according to the UN, a third of Ukrainian refugees registered in Europe stopped in Poland..




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