There is a very low probability that Belarus will enter the war of Ukraine against Russia. Despite the support of the aggressor country, self-proclaimed President Alexander Lukashenko is too afraid of internal unrest due to the introduction of troops into Ukraine, so he will try in any way to avoid participating in the Kremlin's " Reported by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

According to American experts, on June 14, the Armed Forces of Belarus began command and staff exercises aimed at developing the capabilities of command and control. But this has nothing to do with the attack on Ukraine..

“There is a very small chance that Belarus will join Russia in the war against Ukraine. Major General Andrei Burdyko, head of logistics of the Armed Forces, said that the training is designed to improve the coherence of command and staff and logistics support to increase the overall level of training and practical skills of personnel in a " Nevertheless, Lukashenka's fear of the threat of internal unrest minimizes the likelihood of Belarus entering the war,” the ISW report says..

Experts also note that Belarus' military resources are limited, and the quality of training of local personnel remains low.. Therefore, even if the units of the Republic of Belarus are introduced into the territory of Ukraine, their participation in the war will be ineffective.

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Earlier, Lukashenko stated that Belarus would not participate in the war against Ukraine, however, from the very beginning of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation, the invaders carried out rocket attacks from the territory of the Republic of Belarus.