Five years ago, a wave of political debutants poured into the French National Assembly. A teacher from Strasbourg, an entrepreneur from Lyon, a farmer from Brittany, a firefighter from western France, all of them and many more received seats in the center party of Emmanuel Macron, then called " Together with allies, the party took 60% of the lower house of parliament, marking a massive purge that lowered the average age of deputies and filled the assembly with women, writes The Economist..

Today, however, Macron's party is facing a mutiny at the ballot box that could rob the re-elected president of his majority and put an end to any further reform plans.. On June 12 and 19, voters will vote for the new parliament.

At the national level, polls have shown that Macron's Ensemble, a centrist alliance, is on a par with Jean-Luc Melenchon's new radical left group, which includes socialists, communists and greens.. Under the two-stage voting system, the first party to enter parliament will have the largest representation, and it is likely that Macron's alliance will remain the largest..

It looks like NUPES, an alliance of socialists and greens, will replace the centre-right Republicans as the main opposition, winning at least three times as many seats as that party and Marine Le Pen's Rally Nationale.. Melenchon unlikely to win majority. But opinion polls show Macron could lose his majority if he falls short of 14 to 39 parliamentary seats..

By absorbing the moderate left, Melenchon, 70, who admires the Venezuelan Hugo Chavez and wants France to leave NATO, has created a powerful left movement that has achieved extraordinary unity.. It is liked, in particular, by people who advocate environmental change, citizens and young people: 44% of people aged 18 to 24 support it.. This time, Melenchon is exhibiting some of the boldest newcomers, including a baker from the east of France and a maid near Paris.. Also, he deftly unleashed a debate around the role in which he sees himself - the prime minister.

Sensing this threat, Macron last month appointed Elisabeth Born, an engineer and civil servant who built her career working for socialist politicians, as his new prime minister.. Her candidacy itself will receive few votes from the left, but it marks a shift from Macron's two previous prime ministers, each of whom was a centre-right. Bourne vowed to introduce " Macron borrowed Melenchon's main idea of \u200b\u200b" Macron also appointed Papa Ndiaye, a historian who has written extensively on race and discrimination, as his new education minister..

Much has been done, much remains to be done.

Under the French constitution, Macron has broad powers, including the right to legislate with minimal parliamentary oversight and to appoint a prime minister.. But politically, he still needs a working majority to complete what he started in his first term.. This includes a reform of the pension system that will raise the retirement age from 62 to 64 or 65.. In other words, what is at stake in the parliamentary vote is whether Macron can continue his activities as an economic reformer and modernizer of the French welfare state..

The answer will be a resounding " Macron has already hinted that he will refuse to appoint him as prime minister. But it would be extremely difficult for him not to do so - just like Jacques Chirac, who apparently appointed the socialist Lionel Jospin after he lost his majority in 1997.

Melenchon promises, among other things, to lower the retirement age to 60, repeal liberalizing labor market reforms, restore the wealth tax and increase the net minimum wage by 15% to 1,500 euros ($1,600) per month.. Two of his candidates in Paris invited Jeremy Corbyn, the former British radical Labor leader, to campaign with them..

However, there is a possibility that Macron will either keep the decrepit majority, which will allow him to continue his policies, or lose it, which is fraught with problems.. The President will then need to either assemble a voting majority with non-Allied deputies or look for a formal coalition.. Yet after crushing the mainstream parties with his centrist bloc, Macron finds himself alone against the extremes, with few options.; centre-right Republicans have little interest in helping him.

The campaign was not enthusiastic. “People think legislatures are just a vote to approve to give the president a majority, which is not very motivating,” says Mathieu Gallard Ipsos, sociologist. Indeed, by maintaining a low profile on the campaign trail, Macron may have hoped to make the vote a natural extension of the presidential election results.. However, the result so far has been more of a sense of drift.. This allowed Melenchon to set the agenda and informationally dominate important events such as the debacle with the police at the recent Champions League football final..

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“There will be a fight for every seat,” says one of Macron’s deputies. The government is getting ready. Ministers not elected, including Elisabeth Bourne running in Normandy, will have to leave.

Macron knows how to overcome extremes. There is much to condemn in Melenchon's manifesto, not least his promise to break parts of European Union law or to phase out French nuclear power.. During the presidential campaign, Macron very accurately exposed the contradictions of Le Pen's promises.. Now he needs to do the same with Mr Melenchon.

Earlier it was reported that Macron could come to Ukraine next week.. Will Paris dare to give us the second transfer of the SAU Caesar.