Russian war against Ukraine fails. But grave dangers remain. Among them, peace on terms similar to those that Russia imposed on its previous victims, so that Ukraine would bleed for years..

Vladimir Putin is likely to offer terms that at first glance appear to be concessions but are calculated to hinder Ukraine's development and threaten security even beyond its borders, the Wall Street Journal writes.. Ukrainians will not agree to this, and others should not try to force them to accept such an insidious offer..

Recent Russian Wars Can Detail What's On Putin's Mind About Ukraine. In Georgia, where he invaded in 2008, in Moldova, where Russian troops never left, and in Azerbaijan, where Moscow has supported Armenian separatists since the early 1990s, the fighting has stopped but uncertainty continues.. Russian forces - a mixture of local puppets and Kremlin fighters - continue to dig in along semi-official ceasefire lines. With the support of Russia, the feudal lords of these puppet formations still control foreign territories.. And it is the terms of the ceasefire that guarantee their existence.. Without a hot war and a sustainable peace, these truces are deliberately depleting the victims of the Russian attack.. Moscow uses so-called "

Kremlin hints indicate that this is how Putin intends to capitalize on his failed invasion, Russian autocrat insists that Ukraine come to terms with the loss of three of its regions that it has already captured: Crimea, and the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. It may seem like a good option, but it really isn't.. If Russia gets what it wants, then other regions will be overshadowed by invented “separatism”, fake independence movements and similar forms of sabotage that Putin will come up with.. Fake referendums and forced population exchanges are likely to affect more than just two or three regions of Ukraine. Even if Putin shows restraint at first, he will already have convenient outposts to do more damage in the future.. At the end of the game he is playing, Ukraine will face no better fate than Georgia, Moldova or Azerbaijan, which have suffered from Russian intimidation for decades..

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The West Tolerated Russia's Strategy of Creating and Supporting " This convinced Putin in 2014 that he could safely occupy Crimea and unleash a separatist war in Donetsk and Lugansk.. Reconciliation with such an outcome of the war in Ukraine would be a big mistake.. Europe's security risks are clear. Ukraine is more than any previous victims of Russian aggression and post-truce intrigue. It borders four NATO countries: Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania.. It could also set a precedent for three other countries in the alliance that were once under direct Soviet rule: Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia.. Constant uncertainty and destabilization in Ukraine are unacceptable.

The horrors Russia has inflicted on civilian Ukrainians lends urgency to the search for peace. Ukraine can reasonably consider concessions on the time and conditions of joining NATO or the EU.

But concessions that will bring Russia a permanent lever of influence over it will not bring any peace.. They will only allow the preparation of a new war. These are the conditions Putin would like to receive. President Volodymyr Zelensky, who insists that Ukraine will not agree to ultimatums, sees the danger of accepting Putin's conditions. If the world wants to see a peaceful and secure Europe, it should not impose on Kiev a solution that ignores the lessons of other countries, where Russia got everything it demanded.