When in Russia will the denouement come?

29 August 2018, 01:33 | Peace
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Russia as a state is dying swiftly. In lawlessness, lawlessness, obscurantism, and also in hysterical paranoia, which begins to replace the regime with other senses and the mind. The situation in the country is getting worse and worse from day to day. In response to the collapsing economy, the depreciation of the ruble, rising prices and a reduction in financial reserves - idiotic reforms, new bans and expanding repression. They are tried for reposts 6-8 years ago, for pictures and "insult of feelings" of women, believers and God still knows whom.

The provocateurs from the FSB and the "E" Directorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, playing, create fake organizations and expose them. The Duma is seriously concerned about the legalization of payment for stolen goods, which will now be encouraged up to 10 million. It is not difficult to predict that the revived era of the Pavlik Morozovs awaits us again, and the slogan of the Chekists of the 1930s: "If you did not sit, it's not your merit, but someone's shortage!" - from a joke gradually turns into a gloomy reality.

The regime is mastering new Jesuit forms of reprisals against its political opponents. They began to plant just like that, "for past sins". For 30 days in an administrative jail, Sergey Udaltsov was thrown (he declared a dry hunger-strike as a protest, he was in serious condition). The wording of the "crime" strikes the imagination: "For an unauthorized action within the framework of an agreed". The instrument of crime is a megaphone hanging on the neck.

At the end of August (the date matters) was re-arrested for a month and put in a special detention center Aleksey Navalny. He "remembered" the action as much as January 28, in which his participation, in my opinion, was limited to three steps outside the apartment, until detained by vigilant policemen "for the name".

The list can be continued. It is understandable: the authorities are hysterical about the incompetent and absolutely inexplicable from the point of view of sound logic of the so-called Putin's pension reform imposed on society because of a significant depletion of the country's budget and aroused public dormancy. All this - the predictable consequences of the imminent man-made economic crisis and the international isolation of Russia, driven there by the mediocre actions of the current regime in the world arena.

What else can you expect from a bankrupt power, capable only of theft and repression? Wars against the whole world, the new Gulag with millions of powerless slaves, mass massacres and arrests? It will not help: the current model of the economy will not work in the conditions of barrack-administrative nomenklatura capitalism, based on the doctrine of corrupt plundering of the country.

Rather, it just brings the denouement. After all, the peculiarity of the current stage of the country's life is the fact that the people have run out of money. That is generally over: spent "subcutaneous" fat reserves and reserves of zero years, sold "extra" cars, apartments and cottages, eaten "stash" for a rainy day. This applies not only to employees, but also to businesses that are not closely engaged with the regime and who do not participate in cutting and budgeting.

The panic of the Kremlin "celestials" will grow along with the contradictions within the system. Fear of future protests against predatory pension reform is already pushing the system toward political paranoia and cruelty, which we have not seen before. Well, sooner or later the regime will have to make a choice: either burn all bridges, resort to mass repressions in the hope of intimidating the impoverished population, or quietly crawl away, launching the negotiation process on the reforms of political power and guarantees of some security for its current leaders. True, the chances of a peaceful outcome are getting smaller, and the way for a large-scale (and, perhaps, bloody) civil conflict looks, alas, more and more likely.

Of course, today it is difficult to say how much time and strength still have power.

Socio-political processes often have great inertia and are delayed due to difficult predictable factors (for example, the global crisis, large-scale war, etc.). But the truth is that all revolutions and coups also happen absolutely unexpectedly and swiftly, including even for those who wait or fear them every day. In our recent history of such examples - a dime a dozen. But we do not teach stories. So it remains only to wait for the denouement. I'm afraid that it will not be very long.

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