About Levada's poll on presidential ratings. As always, do not read the interpretations and headlines of the media.

1) It is very strange that they give a comparison of Putin's presidential rating immediately with 2011, skipping 2014-2016. There would be interesting dynamics. And so it turns out slightly inflated.

2) To look it is necessary on figure 63%. On the figure of 82% for Putin to watch is not necessary, since this support is only among the most determined, at this stage a rather meaningless figure. What is 63%? This is the same amount as Pu received in 2012, even before every Crimea. Show me what happened to the Crimean effect?.

3) Navalny clearly formed as a clearly distinguished from other candidates, included in the "big four". This is the first time and this is a big breakthrough. No other candidates even close to him are not suitable, despite the many years of presence on the political field. This is reminiscent of the starting situation before the election of the mayor of Moscow-2013, when Navalny in a short time managed to gain more additional support.

4) Now there is every chance for a repeat of this 2013 scenario: how then Sobyanin's rating collapsed from 70-80% to 50%, so Putin's rating might fall. Against the background of people's weariness from the bored Pu, Ziu and Zhi, it is quite probable.

Note: many often misinterpret Putin's support in 63% (or 82%). Automaton all who said that he is ready to vote for him are recorded in his diehard fans. This is not at all true:

here the author of the same polls, Denis Volkov of Levada, explains in detail that according to the same surveys, only 10% admire Putin, while the rest say "more or less", "we do not see an alternative," "if not Putin is a cat ".

Polls Levada, as always (as in 2011, as in 2013), fix a certain inertia in society, acting as a kind of demotivating factor - but both 2011 and 2013 showed us that a sharp Backward wave. Now such a wave is obviously growing. Support her.

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