About the United States - I understand that you know everything. There were a few my updates that we have here. All below you can see. I must say that for a political scientist or historian, more interesting time in the history of the United States in terms of constitutional crisis, and even associated with espionage - never was.

About Trump's visit to the Middle East. Here I have a few remarks and comments.

I did not quite understand why Trump was considered the first person to approach the Western Wall. There after all there was both Clinton and Obama, younger Bush in my opinion too. In any case, I personally saw and even somewhere I kept pictures of Clinton and Obama, near the Wailing Wall. What's the news?.

Ask yourself, why are the Saudis so stretched before Trump? I hope you do not think that this is due to the fact that they are struck at the very heart, by its brilliant power and wisdom, from which their knees tremble and on their bald spots under the cave stands the sweat. Everything is much simpler and if you follow the economy and politics, then there are no secrets. I wrote here about six months ago (it is necessary to find an article) that because of the change in the technology of oil production in the US, de facto neither Russian nor Arab oil, nothing more so special from themselves represent. Oil in the world, because of these technologies, has become full. Because the prices have fallen and they are kept more inertia and artificial measures, rather than market mechanisms. And since these comrades in the Kremlin and in various sand emirates do not need anyone in the figs, the significance of the whole region for the USA means that it falls. And it falls very quickly.

After all, if without snot, or if you do not give out what you want for reality, the American presence in the whole region of the Middle East has always had one goal: to ensure uninterrupted production, transportation and even, in some cases, refining of petroleum products. That's why they hold the headquarters of the 6th Fleet in Bahrain - in the very heat of the Persian Gulf; Because they give billions to Israel - it's an unsinkable aircraft carrier, American policy in the region; Because they contain Egypt - the Suez Canal is needed; Because they wage wars and keep troops in Yemen, Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti - because these countries control shipping and straits around the Arabian Sea and the passages to the South of Africa (Cape Town) or to the Red Sea and so on. Each country in the Middle East performs certain functions in this very complex operation. And if there are failures, we see all this in the rising prices for gasoline, and others see it as aggression in Ukraine or Georgia.

So, the situation is outdated and changes before our eyes. All these Arabs, with their eternal problems and wars for religion, Turkey with its current Islamist government, different Pakistan, Afghanistan, even such cornerstones as Israel, Iran, Egypt - all these countries have drastically lost their practical need for America. And no one purely for beautiful eyes, or for empty talk about democracy, to pay grandmothers or keep on trillions of dollars, there is an American army and a navy, there will not be. All these countries in the next 20-30 years, will completely move to somewhere 3-4 places in the US coordinate system. And all this is caused by huge deposits of shale oil, which is cheaper to produce in the whole of North America.

The Saudis, playing around with oil prices, completely failed in their attempts to smother American shale mining and now realize that the deal is stitches. They have not so much money. The population, with the good help of Allah, grows constantly. Around all countries in a state of war, revolution, economic crises and t. Secular dictators are slaughtering religious fanatics, and fanatics are blowing up entire countries with these secular dictators and we can not in any way figure out for whom we should intercede - for bloody bandits without religion, or for the same bloody ones with religion. And all this in front of the kings and sheiks of the whole region. Here from this spectacle, where the sheikhs and dictators will soon not be able to simply give their subjects money for oil and the subjects will have to start working and, even possibly, to change seats from cars to camels, the revered rulers actually shake hands. Since such a prospect is a 100% revolution and a war in the entire region. About what I also wrote several times and warned. Therefore, all these prescient emirs, young and old, started a restructuring of their economy and are trying to get away from the oil needle for something else. Since religious fanatics or conservatives, as a rule, have very great difficulties, with the invention of new technologies and methods (for this, free, progressive people are needed - what the Republicans do not understand in America), the main hope for the purchase and construction of this new The turn of the economy will fall on the US. That is, in fact emirs buy for the next 20 years, American construction and technological restructuring of the whole country. They themselves can not do this, it means that the countries need to rebuild the Americans.

Plus, all this kind of goods should be guarded - that's why buying such a quantity of weapons. The whole region is not calm. One of the little-known details of all these negotiations, is that the United States has given full support to equipping a huge army of mercenaries from the Black Water company with American weapons that will be delivered. And it's not just machines or grenades. Black Water only in Iraq held almost 300. 000 people under arms. The Saudis are rumored to want an army of 450. 000 people, of which 2/3 will be mercenaries. For them, special bantustan camps are set up, where alcohol is allowed, girls are brought there, there are Western shops and goods, and it has reached the point that the Saudis have given the good that former Israelis, who are among the mercenaries, are very popular, both soldiers and officers, can To set foot on the sacred ground of the Prophet himself.

That's the real point, and that's why these dances, singing in chorus, the red carpet tracks and in general the whole ball is a masquerade, for our narcissus, who apparently thinks that it's all he, the beloved, deserved or frightened that everyone around fell prostrate And medals hang.

Venezuela from the state of fermentation, smoothly turns into a state of civil war between the government of Maduro (in fact the Communists of the Trotskyite type) and various factions that believe that the Communists must be overthrown, as usurping power. Again, the reason for this nightmare in a country where the great Chavez just recently threatened all the imperialists with a fist was the fall in oil prices. Venezuela lives with the sale of its very-very dirty oil, the graduation E only in one country - the United States. Because specially for this oil or rather mud, stones, sand with oil, in Texas, in Houston, they built special terminals and treatment facilities and the processing of this liquid liquid. , That they are driving from Venezuela. Even in the midst of the verbal threats of Chavez, to the whole world of pro-American imperialists backed by devils who settled in Washington, its tankers - consistently, daily entered the port of Houston for oil shipment. And no speeches or politics, this business did not stop. Because words are one thing, and business is another. No one else in the world, this dirty oil without a big discount - does not take. Since cleaning is, to put it mildly, a terrible hemorrhoids and you need a whole technology how to do it. And now, even in the US, this amount of oil, even at a reduced price - is not needed. Therefore, the Arabs, and the Russians, and especially Venezuela, were hung up with the unnecessary goods, for which they had all been tied up for the last 75 years. Therefore, the war with the revolution. Citizens must be fed, but there is no more money, since oil is not for sale. And this once again proved the truth that first of all in the world there is a buyer, not a seller and if the seller behaves in a boorish way, sooner or later, but he will find a replacement.

From the preceding, this point also follows. Canada and the United States begin construction of a pipeline from Alberta to Houston. Through the pipeline, there will be very dirty oil or what are called oil sands, from this Canadian province. Why? Again because only in Houston there is an infrastructure for cleaning this good. In Canada, these oil sands, according to estimates and with a margin for the next 500 years of use, with the increase in oil consumption, as there is today. Obama for a long time did not give the go-ahead for the pipeline, and partly because of this in Canada, a serious downturn in the economy began, as Canadian oil fell sharply in price. I do not quite understand the need for additional oil in the already overstocked market, but I think the point is that in Houston it will be cleaned and processed into fuel and sold not in raw, but already in the processed form. And, apparently, the difference in price will make money, because the finished products are always more expensive than raw minerals.

I mentioned above that the whole American strategy of the last 80 years was to control the key straits, ports and trade routes. For example, cross the strait near Singapore and China will remain without oil. Or stalling shipping in the Suez Canal and Europe will start a crisis. And not because there are no other ways and exits, but because the price will soar up that will make any production unprofitable. In this regard, it is worth mentioning that China, seeing American plans for withdrawal from the Middle East, is very concerned about this. Since the American policy of freedom of hands and protection of shipping directly led to the prosperity of China's export economy, which it enjoyed. To replace the Americans at sea, China can not and can not possibly never - it probably will not even want to, since it is a very expensive and complicated matter in a purely diplomatic context. In this regard, China is quite possibly projecting itself not as a competitor to the US, but rather as a business partner with whom it is easy to agree. In the end, in China they understand that it is impossible to win this war and there is no sense to fight. Therefore, any disputable issues can be resolved in negotiations. This is partly reflected in the fact that China suddenly became much more pro-American in its dealings with North Korea, since it is not in China's interests that Japan, or even American forces, begin to grow up under it from the military point of view, which in case of any protests from China , Can seriously cut off the supply of oxygen, the entire Chinese economy. They do not need this and therefore Beijing would like Pyongyang to resolve this issue without war. And their economic performance is not as good as they would like. In America, now an expensive dollar, which makes exports to America from China profitable, but this is if no measures are taken to restrict it, which plays an additional role in the Chinese choice.

Russia continues to be that wild territory where nothing changes for the better. The opponent in a discussion or at a meeting poured whiskey or greens. The Kremlin sees its role in the world as a special operation, where they take any methods to enforce Russian initiatives. Putin uses half-worlds for himself and, in this connection, it is not surprising that his rapprochement with Turkey, where the dictator-islamic. The leader of the opposition, I did not see there for the president's chair and do not see. Navalny and his desire for justice is only one part of the presidential race and the life of the country. He pulls a good prosecutor, but not the president. And there is simply no other. The stagnation that is there in the economy is not at all so deep as to say that people have nothing to eat or are ready to explode. At the same time, all attempts are being made to sell more oil or to conduct additional gas pipelines. Turkey has already given kindness to a similar one, which will bypass Ukraine and, upon completion, create additional conditions for blackmailing Kiev from Moscow. In Chechnya, there is actually an independent bandit formation that maintains loyalty to Putin for money and on the condition that Putin does not get into local affairs. And local affairs there get ugly forms - for example, for people with a different sexual orientation, they openly build a concentration camp, women dressed in a veil and somehow no one objects to it under a general federal law. That is, the moment of approaching the throne in Moscow is the basic law of existence and prosperity and nothing more. Is this a new situation in Russia - of course not. So that.

Turkey is rapidly rolling down the inclined plane to a dictatorship. During the visit of the US, seeing the protesting Turks, angry Erdogan gave a command to his guards, begin to fight with them that they did. Somehow, no one has taught this Turkish fugitive and his retinue. But in fact it has long been necessary. I do not quite understand the US strategy for Turkey, but I do not exactly see in Turkey anything that can both hold these relations further at the same level. Is it that Trump sees similar traits in Erdogan and therefore sympathizes with him. The fact that Turkey has slipped to such an end proves once again that democracy in the Middle East either has some wild and mostly religious forms or acquires features of a secular dictatorship. In theory, secular dictatorship is better than the power of religious ulema, but personally for me it is necessary to make a great effort to be with such as Erdogan in one room.

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