Why did Le Pen dance on the day of her defeat? There were two good reasons for this: the elections showed that its National Front in June will pass to the National Assembly and Marin Le Pen will not be imprisoned.

Back in 2010. Le Pen tried to prosecute for racism and xenophobia because of a public comparison of Muslim migrants with German invaders, but in 2015. The court withdrew these accusations from her. In 2016 year. An investigation into Le Pen's 9 million. Euro from the Kremlin through the "First Czech-Russian Bank", which attracted state treason. The Kremlin, to rescue Le Pen, in September 2016. Gave the command to the Moscow Arbitration Court to declare this bank bankrupt and - "ends in the water". In 2017 year. A case was opened of fictitious employees taken by Le Pen to work. The leader of the National Front did not usually go to courts, referring to the inviolability of a member of the European Parliament, but on March 2, 2017. Le Pen lost her and the French Themis now full "freedom of hands". Le Pen is unlikely to be imprisoned, but she will have to go to the courts, and not as a lawyer, as in her youth. The hope that the National Front will receive 20% of the vote in June gave Le Pen a reason not only to dance, but also a chance to call all criminal cases against her political.

However, the position of the National Front is not as brilliant as it could be seen during the dances. In France, the majority system of elections, but in two rounds. Even if the candidates for the National Front are in the lead in the first round, then in the second round "All against Le Pen!" Can work like in the presidential elections and the primary success will go to the dust. In the National Front, they are already preparing and trying to mitigate the decline: three days after the party leader's dances, her niece, Marion Marechal Le Pen, a deputy of the National Assembly, announced her resignation from politics and refusal to participate in the elections. Perspective Marion is deduced "for the frame" in case of a serious loss of aunt, after which she will have to revive the National Front and create a new image for him. Party National Front is increasingly turning into a family business Le Pen.

However, Aunt Le Pen will still fight before handing things over to her niece, and the situation in France begins to resemble the situation in 1932. In Germany, when before the elections to the Reichstag the Communists united with the National Socialists against the Social Democrats. At the beginning of November 1932. A week before the early elections, they jointly organized a strike of workers of the Berlin Transport Company in order to stop the trams, cause a traffic collapse in the capital, which would lead to the shutdown of enterprises and give both parties an influx of votes. This five-day strike, led by Goebbels and the Communists, Walter Ulbricht, the future founder of the GDR, ended in failure for the strikers - other enterprises did not support them. The Communists received 2.5% more votes, but the National Socialists remained "with their own", since their voter after the failure of the Beer Putsch was more focused on taking power in elections, rather than on her forcible seizure.

In France there is not only a similar union of the "right" authoritarianists in the family of Le Pen with the "leftist" authoritarians of Jean-Luc Melancheon against democracy, but a similar division of "labor" between them. The National Front, which promises the order and "the rise of France from the knees," can not afford to force street actions, especially since the defeat of Le Pen is too obvious, and leaves the "dirty work" to Melanchon and the "left" groups close to him. Those already on the day of announcement of the results of the elections went to the demonstrations with the slogan "Macron - one day is enough!". But even for the French, who are prone to surrealism, this is too much, and support actions have not been received. In Paris, to build barricades and shoot for the resignation of Macron no one will: the French are not impressionable inhabitants of Donetsk, believing in the myth of the "Bandera". The political culture of France condemns Melanchon neocommunists to go to the polls and tell what they want.

With Melanchon and his "Left Party" there is a very optimistic forecast that it will achieve the same success as the Greek SYRIZA, which won the elections in January 2015. 36% of the vote. But while the "Left Party" has only 1 MP in the National Assembly, and the "Left Front", where it belongs, has 10 deputies or about 2% of seats. Melanchon himself in the 2012 parliamentary elections. Ran in the same district with Marin Le Pen and received 2 times less votes than she. It is noteworthy that Melanchon and Le Pen unanimously urge France to withdraw from the EU and NATO.

The results of the government of Alex Tsipras and SYRIZA in Greece are also disappointing, and it is unlikely that many Frenchmen will be deceived. Initially, SYRIZA pathetically demanded the withdrawal of Greece from the euro area, the refusal to pay debts and promised communism, but after winning the elections, de facto continued the policy of its predecessors - Socialists and Democrats. Those too, but not so pathetic, blackmailed the EU with the exit of Greece, in exchange for which they received huge credits from the EU. SYRIZA only put on this blackmail ideological shell about the capitalists from the EU, who rob poor Greece. But when Tsipras became prime minister and met with Merkel and the head of Eurobank Junker, the accusatory pathos of SYRIZA quietly went down.

Greece in the EU economy is an analogue of the Ukrainian Crimea: the all-European subsidized health resort. By 2010 year. Among 10 million. Its population was 4 million. Pensioners and workers and one million. Migrant workers. The majority of workers are employed in the spheres of tourism and public utilities in the public sector, where the states were heavily inflated. All governments, including the "black colonels", aspired to nationalizations. As a result, in 1981. When accession to the EU in Greece was almost a Soviet distribution economy, where the ends meet were due to the printing press and constant inflation of the drachma. Salaries and pensions were periodically raised, and then lowered, devalued the drachma, and this all Greek governments were entertained for 20 years, until in 2001. They did not switch to the euro, increasing all payments and distorting the economy for the better. By the year 2008. All these imbalances and fictions came out, and the EU realized that they had acquired a very expensive and capricious keeper. Greece was asked to bring the expenses in line with the incomes, reducing fictitious jobs, the army, which was forbidden to burn petrol at the parades, and hinted that it is also desirable to remove the church from the state budget or reduce the number of its ministers, and reduce corruption. For the period of these reforms, the EU promised to give loans and assistance. The Greeks began to resent, bargain and draw Merkel in the form of SS. As the brand new left SYRIZA resented the loudest, it got the support of one-third of the active population and won the elections, promising an exit from the EU without repaying loans.

But to fulfill this promise SYRIZA could not because of the chain of events caused by the Ukrainian revolution. The fall in oil prices by 2 times deprived the Russian Federation of the opportunity to become a donor for Greece instead of the EU, and China does not pretend for such a role. As a result, Tsipras went for money to the "fascist" Merkel, since if Greece withdraws from the EU, then its economy will collapse without new loans, and SIRIZA from parliament, where it has long and hard to go, will bring forward with their feet. Cipras does not have his military detachments, unlike Maduro, and the army will not defend him, and in her there are colonels for any color. As a result, the construction of a new communism by Cipras in a separate Greece ended without even having time to start, and SYRIZA continues the old policy of bargaining its predecessors with the EU according to the scheme: bringing the state budget in order in exchange for loans.

With such "achievements" Melanchon simply has nothing to borrow from Cipras, except rhetoric about a bright communist future, and the situation in both countries is also very different. If in Greece there is nostalgia for the state bureaucracy, which honestly distributes and steals little, and it does not matter, under the guise of which ideology, in France, on the contrary, a social request to limit the powers of this bureaucracy, which is reflected in the mood to restart the political system. But in this niche Macron is already firmly in place, and in June he will draw to himself an ideologically left-wing electorate, selecting it from the socialists and Melanchone. Macron, renaming his party-movement from "Forward!" To "Forward, the Republic!" Gave a clear sign to the reformist wing of the Republicans, not inclined to left-wing phraseology, that is ready to unite with them. After Makron appointment as Prime Minister Edward Philippe - a liberal from the Republicans, an alliance with the "left" wing of their party received an unambiguous and public formalization.

Given that the "Forward" movement started recently, it was able to nominate 428 candidates to the National Assembly (where there were 577 seats), and out of them only 28 were ever its deputies.

As promised, Makron seeks to introduce new people into the parliament and begin rebooting the system, which is what the voter demands.

Merkel very shrewdly called Macron "the embodiment of the hopes of millions of French, many Germans and Europeans". Probably, Merkel does not suspect how much she can be right.

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