Resolution of the UN Security Council (if adopted - Red. ) In no case will stop North Korea. Why? Because North Korea acts more for the political interests of the Russian Federation. Here I would say that they have not quite an independent game, they are not so strong, they do not have the resources to withstand even the minimum package of sanctions that can be imposed by the United Nations in connection with the spread of the nuclear threat from North Korea. Here the main source of their vital activity is Russia. Therefore, they work in the key geopolitics of the Russian Federation.
The issue of security in the world with the increase in North Korean missiles is now very acute. In fact, North Korea is a nuclear blackmail of international security based solely on bluffing. That is, there is no real development, a serious design bureau for rocket engines, missile carriers in North Korea. They are modifying old Soviet technologies, again with the help of the Russian Federation.
Therefore, I think that they will be pressured by diplomatic means. The American squadron approached the shores of North Korea, actually took the position to strike and stands ready. China has concentrated, in my opinion, a 150-thousand-strong grouping on the border with North Korea. South Korea is ready to move its troops in the event of an aggravation of the situation. And as far as we know, now the Russian Federation is moving its troops to the border with North Korea, that is, the echelons are now returning, as Russian President Putin said, that the Buryat tankmen and miners.
Therefore, there is a threat, but this threat is not so much real as purely political.
The issue of resolving this crisis for today I think now is suspended in the air, and the United States will try to tighten it as much as possible. They achieved their main goal - they delivered a strike group with Tomahawks on board near the borders of the Russian Federation. Again, here North Korea is a pretext for carrying out more global issues politically. In terms of confrontation between the United States and the Russian Federation.
Today, no one is interested in the rapid resolution of this crisis. Therefore, the UN Security Council will. We understand that the United States will insist on sanctions and restrictions.
First of all, they will demand, most likely, that North Korea admit a commission to control the IAEA, as it was in Iran. Russia, as always, will veto this resolution, most likely.
Again, the issue of reforming the United Nations will rise, because it's impossible to continue to pound water in a mortar - on no question it is impossible to reach a consensus because either the United States or the Russian Federation have the right of veto, which turns the UN into a useless organization.
I think that the US is killing two birds with one stone. First, they are pushing the UN reforms slowly to make it more effective. And this is confirmed by the statement of Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel, who said that the UN reform will happen very quickly, even faster than you think, and Israel will take a direct part in this. This is from his last speech from the UN rostrum.
On the other hand, the United States continues the blockade of the Russian Federation. Here, look, North Korea - is the strike group Tomahawk, which controls all ballistic missiles aimed at the United States, located in the Far Eastern regions of the Russian Federation. On the Baltic side there are destroyers, and plus in the Baltic States, an aviation-strike wing was created, which at one filling station will reach Moscow and back. In Poland and Romania, missile defense systems are deployed and troops are being deployed - a panzer division is transferred to Poland.
In Syria and Afghanistan, Russia was made clear that any military movements in the military plan would be brutally suppressed by high-precision weapons.
In fact, Russia today in isolation. I understand that the next step is to declare Russia as a source of military threat. To increase NATO spending on defense and push the US economy toward development.
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