Protests are too small to change anything

19 April 2017, 21:43 | Peace
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Responded to the Washington Post - and he understood.

What is a long-distance truck strike in Russia? This is on the assurances of truckers themselves somewhere 100,000 cars and growth of 250 cars per day. Given the Russian tradition, to exaggerate, let it be 50,000 cars and a growth of 100 cars per day. Active fleet of heavy vehicles - more than 1.6 million cars, and there are alternative carriers - medium-sized vehicles, railroad cars and others.

That is, we deal with 3-4% of the park (and less than 1-2% of the market) and the prospect of growth of another 2.5% of the park for the year, while maintaining growth rates (with a big question what drivers will have this year, that is Most likely if the growth is, then participation in the strike from drivers will be flickering, with work at 30 - 70% of the load).

Small companies and private carriers participate in the strike, and the main concentration of participants in the North Caucasus.

At the same time - an active outrage of Plato's tariffs (which, by the way, is much lower than in Europe, including Belarus) shows that margins in the market are low and competitiveness is very high. Exit from the market 3-4% of the players does not affect the quality and volume of transportation in any way and only strengthens the position of competitors (mostly larger companies with economies of scale working), and if someone from close people's power thinks to create "Rosdalnoboy" "Or" Russian Road "by understandable analogies, then for him it is just a gift - under this business it is possible to consolidate the market, and then raise tariffs for transportation and in Plato in a proper way to negotiate, on the bones of workers who left the business and their name by agreeing About discounts, delays and reductions.

All this clearly explains and why the authorities are completely relaxed and allow the siloviki to communicate with strikers (and only if the strike goes into active action), and why (miracle!) On the hard-crooked Caucasus, where the mouse does not run and the homosexual Will not slip, truckers' shares meet with some Eastern European democracy instead of the usual hard take-away in an unknown direction with the punishment of relatives and public requests for forgiveness from the wise leadership.

In general, the actions of truckers, as well as public actions in general in Russia, are too few today to change anything, and they exist in principle only for the time being. And quite harmlessly on a macro scale.

And it is beneficial for someone behind the scenes with their own The agenda in a sweaty handle. Which in no way detracts from my admiration for those who decide to leave them: from the ethical point of view, productivity is generally a bad criterion, at least for those who celebrate Easter every year.

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