Empire. Road to defeat

17 June 2022, 10:44 | Policy
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It had to happen. The megalomania of Russian President Putin was bound to manifest itself sooner or later.. And this happened 100 days after his invasion of Ukraine. Putin compared himself to Tsar Peter I. At a meeting with young entrepreneurs in St. Petersburg, he stated that in the Northern War of 1700-1721. Peter I did not tear away the Swedish territories, but " “Apparently, it also fell to our lot to return and strengthen,” the Russian president summed up..

In Putin's logic, any seizure of the territory of a foreign state is the return of one's own. He is not interested in people, traditions, or language.. Everything that his hand can reach, he considers his. The sick logic of a sick person whose actions suffer those whom he decided to pay attention to. But the question always arises: what to do with such hooligans?

The West is humane towards the most violent patients, trying to enter into their situation, understand their motives and even take their side.. Now Ukraine is angrily watching the manifestation of such a policy towards Putin with misunderstanding, a stun gun in his right hand and a straitjacket in his left.. Kyiv is waiting for the West to play enough of the dictator's psychotherapy and give the opportunity to finally resolve the issue with him.

But do we have time?

Fatigue as a backdrop for the "

But the chances that the politics of talk will be replaced by the politics of action are getting smaller every day.. The war in Ukraine has reached a new level. After constant Russian attacks and Ukrainian counterattacks along a wide front line, we went on the defensive and now the clashes are local.. The occupier begins to settle down in the occupied territories: steal and export property to Russia, appropriate enterprises, issue passports, introduce the ruble, replace laws. Ukraine is trying to recapture settlements and often succeeds: it slowly grinds the equipment and personnel of the enemy. But small towns are being liberated. Kherson, Mariupol and Berdyansk are still under Russian control.

The active attack of the enemy is perceived more emotionally than our defense and inconspicuous sluggish occupation. Photos of dead soldiers and children fleeing the war evoke more sympathy than photos of ordinary people sitting at the entrance to their house, even if it was shelled.. From the outside it may seem that the war has receded and now it is not so terrible.. Especially against the backdrop of a new information policy, when the media are trying not to publish any data or photos from the hottest spots of the war.

The absence of constant bloody battles - right in front of your eyes - creates the illusion that peace is almost here. While in the East near Severodonetsk, where the enemy artillery forces outnumber ours by 10 (! ) times - hell. But the West, just like us, very quickly fell for this illusion.. Countries wanted to quickly believe in this deception. The West, sitting on the couch and watching on TV how my country is being killed, is tired of fighting on the Ukrainian front.

" - AT. ) is growing,” Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in early June. - People want some result for themselves. And you and I need a result for us. Structures for resolving the issue of this war with a positive result for us, I am with them (partners of Ukraine. - AT. ) did not discuss" From this confusing statement by the Ukrainian president (he is really bad at impromptu, which is strange for a former comedian), we can conclude that only parameters of a peace agreement that were unfavorable to Ukraine were discussed with him. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson confirmed this assumption.. After a failed no-confidence vote, Johnson convened a Cabinet meeting. What he said there, it became known from the speaker of the government: “He (Boris Johnson. - AT. ) said it was important that President Zelenskiy not be pressured into agreeing to a bad peace, noting that bad peace deals don't last long."

It is easy to guess the parameters of a peace agreement that is unfavorable for Ukraine. Kyiv must stop hostilities and not retake Donbass. Recognize the independence of Donetsk, Luhansk and the fact that Crimea is now and forever Russian. He must come to terms with the loss of new territories - parts of the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions - and silently watch how they integrate into Russia. Don't try to get them back now and promise not to claim them in the future.. Accept the loss of the Sea of \u200b\u200bAzov. Reduce your army. Return all received Western weapons. Become a neutral state by abandoning the idea of \u200b\u200bjoining NATO and the European Union. Make Russian the second state language.

However, it is almost impossible to convince Ukraine of the need for such a peace.. Otherwise, we will have to accept the loss of 20% of our territory and admit that the thousands of dead, destroyed houses, more than five million migrants are all in vain, no one will be held accountable for this, and those who raped and killed in Bucha and Irpen will turn into. That Ukraine lost this war, and Russia, the antipode of all the democratic, human values \u200b\u200bthat the West loves to talk about, won only because other states simply do not want to quarrel with it and are ready to appease it at the expense of my state and the future of my fellow citizens.

Perhaps Ukraine is demanding too much. We want the citizens of the European Union, who practically did not know us before the war and had difficulty finding Kyiv on the map, to give up their comfort, measured and calm life for us.. To give up something for the sake of strangers, people far from you. We agreed on high inflation, rising prices for gasoline and food, and uncertainty about heating this winter. We also need your weapons.. A lot of. This, of course, is impudence on our part: to ask, and sometimes even demand all this from you.. But we just have no one else to ask for help. Ukrainians are being killed. And we are sure that Russia is waging genocide against us.

Weapons as the key to victory.

Putin always interprets history in a perverted way. He doesn't see the facts. He needs an interpretation that is beneficial to him.. He is trying to endow historical events with a meaning that does not exist, and did not exist.. This allows him to use the past to explain the present and program the future.. Putin did not accidentally talk about Peter I. It was during his reign between Ukraine and Russia that one of the most serious conflicts took place..

The Swedish king Charles XII, having set off in 1707 to smash the Russian tsar, was able to win over the Ukrainians, who were formally part of the Russian Empire.. Ukrainian Cossacks led by Hetman Ivan Mazepa renounced Moscow citizenship. The final battle between the Swedes and the Muscovites took place just in Ukraine, near Poltava. And the Swedes lost: Karl fled, Mazepa was recognized as a traitor, and Ukraine became even more dependent on Moscow. Putin is sure that history repeats itself. The current “Sweden” is NATO. Ukraine - the same " The final battle should take place in Ukraine and end with the flight of the West from the "

It may seem strange that a politician of a large state in the 21st century makes decisions guided by the phantom pains of the events of 300 years ago.. This is contrary to common sense, the Internet, artificial intelligence and Elon Musk. But such is the logic of the existence of an imperial country, to which any of its rulers becomes a hostage: they must constantly prove their strength by force.. For Russia, success lies not in the well-being of their fellow citizens, but in how much they manage to scare the rest of the world..

Therefore, when Ukraine says that if it falls, then Putin will go further and decide to seize the Baltic countries and Moldova, start a big war with Poland - these are not just words. This is an understanding of our enemy, with whom we have long been part of the same state and with whom we speak the same language.. No, we are not one people, but we understand how and what the Russians breathe. And one of these " Do not try to see hints or subtexts in his statements. He thinks as he speaks and does as he thinks.. If you accept this simple rule, a lot will fall into place..

Of course, Kyiv, when often talking about future Russian attacks on Europe, exaggerates somewhat. We also want to scare the West. Their fear may make them help us.. But it doesn't seem to work. Trying to beg for weapons, appealing to principles (" This strategy can have several explanations: it works; her guides do not know how to live differently; requirements cover their own miscalculations. A question from one of the many advisers to the head of the presidential office: “Scholz, where are our weapons? " It's just that now is not the time to raise such questions, especially since the answer right now does not mean anything.

Scholz, Macron, Biden are exploring other options for ending the war, not just providing military support to Ukraine. No one needs new suffering, the spread of war across the continent, world hunger caused by grain blocked in Ukrainian ports and, as a result, instability in African and Asian countries, which will lead to a new wave of uncontrolled migration to the EU countries. So if you can't convince Putin to end the war, why not try to convince Ukraine to accept defeat

Russia is used to living in shit. Depriving Russians of comfort, a cheeseburger and an iPhone, unfortunately, did not work to the extent that was expected. Sanctions and the departure of world brands from the country have led to the fact that they have become angrier not at themselves and their leadership, but at those who took their toys from them. Propaganda hammered into their heads for years has formed a generation of angry, aggressive, non-critical thinkers.. In Ukraine they are called " Putin raised his own army with the help of television. Now he doesn't even try to hide behind democracy. He doesn't need it. Russians support the war. Putin's rating went up again. Opposition evaporated like smoke.

He can do whatever he wants with the country, and there will be no better time to create the country he dreamed of.. And this is not a democracy. This is tyranny.

Therefore, the endless phone calls of the German chancellor and the French president to the Russian dictator look so naive.. It's like saying " But it won't happen. Putin understands force and only force.

Time to fight. Let's talk about morality later.. We need weapons. A lot now. Please.




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