"Russia uses the World Cup as a screen for aggressive actions in the Sea of ??Azov. Constant illegal inspections of cargo ships going to the ports of Mariupol and Berdyansk, detention of vessels for several days.

The goal of increasing the military presence is not at all to redistribute the fisheries. The real reason is that the invaders are experiencing a severe shortage of fresh water and energy resources. In June, the whole Crimea remained for many hours without light, even Sevastopol and Simferopol touched off. But the main problem is that there are no ways to solve the water problem. Therefore, the actual seizure of Azov is necessary for bargaining for the opening of the North Crimean Canal.

The invaders in the short term can completely block the Kerch Strait and do not miss any ships other than those going to Russian ports. In exchange for releasing, the demand will be to open floodgates with Dnieper water at the entrance to the Crimea. As a last resort, it is impossible to exclude a full-scale offensive on the Kherson region in order to gain access to fresh water.

As a first step, Ukraine should consider the possibility of denouncing the 2003 agreement. on cooperation in the use of the Sea of ??Azov and the Kerch Strait ", - summed up Berezovets.