All expected more serious actions of the Western coalition in Syria. Some experts call her punches weak. It is clear that the coalition has achieved its goal. No one was going to destroy the Assad regime and no one was going to cause serious damage to Russian troops. It is more correct to assess the Syrian events of this weekend with the chess term - the threat is stronger than the attack. The signal received by Assad and Putin for attempting to continue uncivilized behavior using chemical agents can be followed by serious punishment. It is clear that the Americans could well hit the Russian air defense facilities, but did not do so for security reasons. To expect that the US and Europeans will solve some other problems, for example, the establishment of democracy - it's just ridiculous, writes in the blog on the browser, the Russian businessman and politician Konstantin Borovoi.
Mission accomplished. The second aircraft-carrying group approaches Syria. The main conclusion - now Assad and Russian groups are under special attention.
What will happen next? I think after receiving such a serious warning, both Putin and Assad will behave more cautiously. In the place where large military resources are concentrated, they will no longer scare. In any case, Putin. But at the same time, I'm afraid of an increase in Russian terrorist activity where it does not receive an immediate response. After the story in Syria, and even before the parade on May 9, Putin - is dangerous. Dangerous for all - for us in Russia, dangerous for Ukraine, Georgia. Where he will restore his face and his reputation - hard to say. But certainly, provocations should be expected. The most probable direction is Ukraine. Actions will be provocative and hybrid. Putin will take revenge, such is his nature and such is his manic state of mind for today.
What happened is not a solution to the problems in Syria. Although the Western coalition does not want to solve their problems in the traditional way. Moreover, the Syrian forces themselves are not completely democratic. It is very difficult to stake on any one group, on the democratic opposition and on the Kurds. I'm not talking about the Turks, which also can not be put. The coalition does not want to interfere in the Syrian political process and reacts only to barbarism, for example, the use of chemical weapons. Therefore, the democratic Syrian opposition has no big hopes for the Western coalition. The coalition does not want to participate in military operations, which must lead to some political result.. Insists on the political process.
It is clear that as long as Putin and Assad are there, there will not be an effective political process. It takes some time for the Western coalition to see for itself this.
At one time, the Americans also did not want to solve the problems of Iraq, after they squeezed Saddam Hussein out of there.
US troops stopped at the border with Iraq. And only serious criminal acts of Saddam Hussein forced the coalition to enter Iraq.
A similar situation, apparently, will be in Syria. Nobody wants to interfere in the process, does not want to carry chestnuts for the Syrians - they must solve their own problems. Politically. But the probability of continuing the policies of Putin and Assad to destroy the Syrian people is very high. If it does, then a military solution is required.