Such an assumption on the air of the program "The Edge of War" on ObozTV was made by an expert on national security issues Taras Zhovtenko.

"You can promote this situation in a very short period of time. Here everything will not rest on the timing of these actions. Russia will obviously expect a political opportunity to strengthen its position in the dialogue with the US, or use the map of the Balkans at a time when the map of Syria or Ukraine will already be beaten by Washington or its European allies. From this particular moment, one can report a few days before the destabilization of the situation begins, "he said..

According to him, the most likely moment for the beginning of such actions can be the presidential and parliamentary elections in October.

"This is one of the options to secure a negative result of elections, or to stop the diplomatic process altogether and stop the democratization of this point in the Balkan region," the expert said..

In addition, he noted the ease with which Moscow moves from information attacks to the use of forceful methods.

"This scenario is absolutely real given how quickly Russia moves from political, information operations to the use of semi-military formations, including irregular semi-criminal local groups that receive weapons from Russian special services. And ending with the use of special forces, which are engaged in the preparation of sabotage operations in the form of unidentified "green men", and up to the use of regular forces, "added Zhovtenko.

He also draws parallels between Republika Srpska and the so-called L / DNR.

"Its existence proves the format when there is an unrecognized republic in the territory of the state and at the same time it has a serious extraneous influence, and the party that is interested in such influence, it uses this republic or part of the territory to destabilize the situation in the country. This is one of the risks of the conflict's balkanization in the freezing format, which was offered to Ukraine. Now Bosnia and Herzegovina shows us real risks from this situation, "the expert concluded..