Russian political scientist: The Kremlin is very mistaken

03 October 2017, 00:47 | Policy
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This is the normal development of the territorial and economic structures of a developed society. The Kremlin, to the best of its ability, is trying to add fuel to the fire, a kerosene, but this is not his merit. This is an objective consequence of the development of objective processes. For an example, let's remember Yugoslavia. There, the story began with the fact that the richest and most advanced republic from all Yugoslav, namely Slovenia, it became unclear - why pay all taxes to Belgrade. And specifically - to Mr. Milosevic, writes on the Observer Russian political scientist Dmitry Oreshkin.

Such a model of the state was created back in those days when it was necessary to have a large territory and a large number of recruits to protect themselves from external threats.

If you mean the possible expansion of Turkey, then yes, this country must be large enough to mobilize people and wage war. As soon as the external threat, conditionally speaking, of Turkey, disappears, the question arises: with what joy should Ljubljana feed Belgrade? She needs money for herself - to build infrastructure, education, medicine.

After Slovenia decided that it would be easier for her to live alone, Belgrade tried to return it by force. For Mr. Milosevic, Slovenia was a personal feeder. After this, a 10-year war began.

A similar process in Spain. Catalonia - one of the most advanced regions of Spain, with a remarkable geographical location and tourism business. Why should she share all this with Madrid? Of course, the center of the state always resists this. Only in what ways?.

The Spaniards do this quite harshly, because they are not the most advanced country in the EU.

For some reason, the Kremlin believes that the EU breaks up in this way, and if it disintegrates, it will strengthen their influence. This is a big misconception, because the Kremlin in fact has no influence. He can ruin a life, throw a pepper or pour a kerosene, yes. But he can not imagine an alternative program. I can hardly imagine that Catalonia, having separated from Spain, moved to the Kremlin's control. The Kremlin does not receive positive benefits from this. Only negative in the sense that it weakens the position of the European Union. From the point of view of the Kremlin, this is realized in terms of the 19th century.

In fact, the EU does not intend to fight with Russia in any way. Therefore, breaking up the unity of the EU, as it seems to the Kremlin, it seeks for itself some advantages. Does the Kremlin have any logic? If you feel worse, we will be better off. But Russia will not be better off.

A similar situation with Britain. They held a referendum, and then got scared. It seems that London already agrees to pay for the output, but what does it gain? London already had many advantages in the EU. But they made a decision - it means they accepted. They leave peacefully, and the EU does not try to introduce policemen with rubber bullets, as Madrid does.

But the situation has its own internal logic. If Britain separates, and in Scotland, too, has its own nationalists and its considerations. And they say they are against the way out that they want to remain in the EU. Accordingly, they then have to separate themselves from Britain. Each territory wants to be governed by its power. In Russia, for example, Siberia sooner or later will understand that it is more profitable for it to deal with China or Japan than with Moscow, which decides whether to give Siberia money or not. But it will not be soon.

In Canada, a few years ago there was also a referendum. Quebec, the French-speaking region, wanted to secede from Canada. Approximately for the same reasons. But 52% said that it is more convenient for them to live in integral Canada. The referendum did not take place there, as its norm implies that the word "yes" is spoken by most of the voters. That is, the entire population that has the right to vote.

Madrid also put it all on the brakes. Half of the population came to the polling stations and out of them 90% voted "for". But this is less than half the total population. So Spain is not as legally advanced territory as the Anglo-British world. Therefore, it was not without forceful actions.




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