A few Sunday remarks on the pain points. Rather, it is so - on the points that we diligently try to present as painful. As reported by Main, this is on Facebook written by political analyst Oleg Ponomar. Exercises in Belarus. I recently (in the first article of the trilogy about Putin) wrote and again (and more than once) I can confirm - there will be no invasion of Ukraine. There will not be a large-scale offensive in Donbass. There will be no capture by Russia (Anschluss) of Belarus. These horror stories are dispersed traditionally and regularly. These horror stories are dispersed by the same "experts". Their goal is to sow panic and fatal-tragic moods in Ukraine, to break the will and faith of the People. The exercises in Belarus are monitored very carefully by NATO. In the Baltic Sea will be NATO squadron (for peace). And in Ukraine at the same time will be held large-scale NATO exercises Rapid Trident-2017, which will bring thousands of US soldiers and other our NATO allies with their equipment. This is also for peace of mind. This is not 2014. Javelins are in a couple of hours from Ukraine. Our enemy knows that if he comes, his losses will be dramatic. That's why he does not stick. DPRK. Here, too, more PR and diplomatic rhetoric. I wrote in Fever-10 that Trump scared them. But while the military operation is not foreseen. Also, some particularly impressionable and easily suggestible should be understood that even in the event of an attack on the DPRK, no world nuclear war can speak. From the word - absolutely. Because the forces are unequal by many orders of magnitude. South Korea, the United States, Japan are reliably protected by air defense systems. Therefore, it would be an hour operation, without a ground invasion (analogies with Vietnam are not appropriate) and without the slightest consequences for the US and its allies - the bulk of missiles will not take off, because it will be destroyed on the ground, and those that take off will be destroyed in the air. Every single one. But for now - there will be no such.

Next week, the US will launch economic and trade pressure on China to force it to more actively influence the DPRK. While the diplomatic option is a priority. Ukraine. Until the end of the month, we have two important events. Visit of the US Special Representative for Ukraine Volker to Moscow. And the second is worthy, honorably and solemnly hold a parade to the Independence Day in Kiev. NATO troops will participate in it. And our eastern neighbor will try, as always, at the front to exacerbate the situation these days. Everything is predictable.