A catastrophic drop in the birth rate is expected in 2023. Ella Libanova, director of the Mikhail Ptukh Institute for Demography and Social Research, told about this in an interview with Ukrayinska Pravda..
“During the war, this trend will certainly deepen, but worse than in 2023 (even if the war continues in 2024), I don’t think it will. We expect the rate to be somewhere around 0.7 children per woman,"
According to her, in 2021, 1.2 children were born per woman.. After the war, this figure could rise to 1.5 children per woman, ideally 1.6. However, these indicators will not be able to compensate for the losses that Ukraine suffered during the war, including mass emigration..
" And in order to ensure the simple reproduction of generations under Ukrainian conditions of mortality, it is necessary that an ordinary woman give birth to about 2.
15 children in her life,"
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As reported by ZN. UA, from February 24 to October 6, 2022, a total of 68,277 women became pregnant. While for the same period of 2021 - 146,675. However, although we do not reach the indicator of 2.1 children per woman, which is necessary for the simple reproduction of the nation, more Ukrainians are born than die.. Whatever loss figures are called, life breaks through death. Read more in the article by Alla Kotlyar "