The weather will play a significant role in the course of Russia's war in Ukraine. Despite ground freezing, cross-country travel conditions in eastern Ukraine appear to have changed little in recent weeks, Defense Intelligence says.

In particular, on February 8, the temperature on the surface was about 0 degrees Celsius.. Forecasts for next week indicate a likely increase in soil temperature and snow melt, which is likely to worsen the ability to move vehicles in the Donbass.

“Rough terrain conditions are likely to be at their worst with very muddy conditions in mid to late March. Commanders on both sides will likely try to avoid planning big offensives at a time like this..

According to them, the perceived political or operational possibilities may outweigh such concerns, as demonstrated by the beginning of the Russian invasion in late February 2022..

Last Defense Intelligence update on situation in Ukraine - 9 February 2023Get the UK government's response: https://t. co/vrOFArukPg? #StandWithUkraine? pic. twitter. com/6Sc2wfJpqC.

— Ministry of Defense? (@DefenceHQ) February 9, 2023.

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Recall that, according to the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Oleksiy Danilov, the occupying forces may launch a new offensive against the Kharkiv and Zaporozhye regions. At the same time, he called a second offensive from Belarus unlikely..