The Russian military may launch a new offensive either in the Luhansk region or in the Ugledar region of the Donetsk region. So say analysts at the US Institute for the Study of War, as stated in their latest report..

It says that the recent limited attacks of the Russian army in the Zaporozhye direction are probably attempts by the invaders to disperse the resources of the Defense Forces. This may become a prerequisite for the activation of Russians in the Luhansk region. In addition, it is there that units of the 2nd motorized rifle division from Belarus are redeployed..

As for the attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus, it is, according to ISW, unlikely..

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Recall that the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, Alexei Danilov, against the background of information that the Russian Federation could launch a new offensive as early as next month, said that the way it was on February 24 will no longer be. He explained that over the past year, Ukraine has changed militarily, and, no less important, the situation with the supply of weapons to us from the allies.. At the same time, Danilov does not rule out that the Kremlin may decide on a new big offensive in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions..