Ukrainian and Russian troops are preparing for active offensive operations in the spring. And Russia is probably preparing to launch a decisive offensive. However, it is unlikely that he will be from the territory of Belarus. This is stated in the report of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) for January 13.

ISW analysts agree with Defense Minister Aleksey Reznikov and Kirill Budanov, head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the MOU, that " And also that the Russian military may be trying to accumulate forces, ammunition and weapons for the offensive from the areas that they have already occupied in the south and east of Ukraine.

“Reznikov’s forecast of a higher pace of Russian operations in the spring partly confirms ISW’s assessment that Russian forces are likely to be preparing for an intended decisive military operation in 2023,” the report says.. – ISW has so far seen no indication that Ukrainian forces intend to end ongoing counter-offensive operations this winter in favor of a major counter-offensive this spring.

However, Ukrainian forces may use ongoing counter-offensive operations to set the stage for a potential larger counter-offensive operation this spring."

The ISW also believes that a new Russian invasion of Ukraine from Belarus remains unlikely and that Belarusian forces are unlikely to join the fighting in Ukraine..

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Recall that the Kyiv city military administration believes that a new wave of Russian offensive is not excluded, and the threat to Kyiv will exist until the war is over..