Russia has resorted to nuclear threats throughout the war it unleashed against Ukraine. Especially in the early months, worries were widespread in the West that Moscow might use tactical nuclear weapons or stage a nuclear demonstration..
As Naoko Aoki, an expert at the Scowcroft Center for Security and Strategy at the Atlantic Council, noted, Moscow, fortunately, did not do this.. However, she warned that "
In turn, Daryl Press, professor of management at Dartmouth University, is convinced that the Kremlin is afraid that the war it has unleashed against Ukraine could endanger the regime of Vladimir Putin..
“Firstly, Putin and his administration are afraid that the war could threaten the existence of the regime.. And secondly, they may decide that the United States is just seeking to overthrow the regime. If they feel that the threat is real, then there may be an escalation with the use of nuclear weapons,” Press explained..
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In turn, Tong Zhao, a researcher at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Center, believes that the risk of such an escalation is quite low.. However, he is convinced that there is a scenario in which Moscow could resort to a nuclear strike..
“This can happen if the war is superimposed on some serious upheavals inside Russia. Then there may be an existential threat to the regime. And here it is not known what the Kremlin will do.
Much will also depend on what position the United States takes, how they will declare their intentions, ”the expert is convinced..
Tong Zhao also noted that Russian nuclear threats worked to a certain extent.. In his opinion, they nevertheless forced the United States and other NATO countries to behave more restrained in supporting Ukraine..
Why Russia Uses Nuclear Blackmail and What Ukraine Should Know? Read about it in the article by the head of the department of the National Institute for Strategic Studies Oleksiy Izhak for ZN. U.A..