The Guardian: Ukraine is suffering heavy losses, the war could be a turning point

11 June 2022, 19:22 | Ukraine
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Regardless of how anyone thinks, the numbers are terrible: Ukraine's losses reach the level of 600 to 1000 military per day. Oleksiy Arestovich, an adviser to the Ukrainian presidential administration, told The Guardian that an average of 150 Ukrainian soldiers are killed every day and about 800 more are injured..

In turn, another adviser to the Office of the President of Ukraine, Mykhailo Podolyak, told the BBC that 100-200 defenders of the country are killed on the fronts every day.. This is a great loss of human lives and opportunities for the defending side, writes The Guardian, recalling the hard battles for Severodonetsk this week. The publication recalls that Ukrainian forces could retreat to the more defensive Lisichansk across the Seversky Donets River.. There they could take a more advantageous position..

The Guardian notes that in view of these figures, Ukrainian losses exceed 20 thousand per month.. This raises the question of what state the Ukrainian army will be in if the war drags on until autumn.. The same applies to the forces of Russia, of course.. But the invaders already control a large part of Ukraine. And they can pause the fighting with territorial gains.

The publication proposes to consider the numbers in context. At the beginning of the Russian invasion, the Ukrainian army consisted of 125 thousand soldiers, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies.. Also, 102 thousand border troops need to be added to them.. Analysts believe that since the beginning of the invasion, the total number of Ukrainian forces has reached 500,000 fighters, and this is impressive..

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Ukrainian defenders are still very far from the point of collapse. But a few months of heavy losses will significantly reduce combat capabilities, even if the wounded recover.. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces have already been forced to retreat in Donbas due to heavy artillery shelling.. Most likely, even among the survivors of these shellings there will be many victims of shell shock.. Morality has definitely become a problem for the Russian army. But recently there have been reports that demoralization has begun to be observed among the defenders of Ukraine..

Until now, many foreigners with combat experience joined the international legion and went to the front lines less than a month after crossing the Ukrainian border.. But the high casualty rate is now openly discussed. And that could prove to be a deterrent to attracting foreign fighters.. Western officials avoid discussing the consequences of the war for the defending side. In their briefings, they focus on the problems of Russia. This week it was announced that Russia has lost up to 20 thousand soldiers. And before the invasion there were 150 thousand or more. However, despite this, the Russian army still has not lost its offensive capabilities..

However, the United States and Europe do not provide similar assessments for Ukraine, which may make it seem that the Russian situation is much worse.. In fact, the Russian advantage in artillery is 10 or 15 to 1, as the Ukrainians themselves say.. Therefore, according to The Guardian, it is possible that Russian losses are significantly less than Ukrainian ones at the moment.. Just because the Russian army is capable of killing at a greater distance.

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The Ukrainian side is running out of ammunition. And this, again, they say in Kyiv. Vadym Skibitsky, deputy head of military intelligence, said Ukraine uses 5,000-6,000 artillery shells a day. And already " Ukrainian defenders now rely on 155mm howitzers received from NATO countries. It is not known how many of these guns are in the hands of Ukraine.



Commanders told The Guardian that the Ukrainian military lacks basic equipment such as secure communications or tactical optics.. The army of Ukraine lacks courage and determination. Western aid is still coming, as evidenced by UK announcements of the transfer of MLRS multiple rocket launchers. Although there are only three. And this is many times less than Kyiv needs right now. But Russian forces at this time found a way to move forward in the Donbass.. So the question arises whether the war, which has been going on for more than three months, is approaching a new turning point..




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