In Ukraine, after the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation, a war of attrition unfolded, and not a modern war of the 21st century, which ends in a couple of months with the surrender of the defeated enemy. This was stated in an interview with ZN. UA well-known military analyst from Azerbaijan Agil Rustamzade, with whom Inna Vedernikova spoke. At the same time, he noted that it was the political defeat of Russia that would decide the fate of the Russian-Ukrainian war..

“You found yourself in extremely difficult conditions. I don't remember any wars in which any country faced this kind of problem.. An analogue can only be the Second World War and the Soviet Union. But the USSR in that war fought with an aggressor smaller in size and human resource. An enemy has come to your land, many times greater than you. But the force that can stop this war lies precisely in the motivation of your people and army,” Rustamadze said..

He added that we all come from the USSR, so we remember the Second World War well.. This, according to him, is primarily an emotional overload, heartbroken people and a huge number of deaths.. But at the same time, he drew attention to the fact that no war is completely similar to another..

“There are always differences - mental, geographical and other. And speaking of the Second World War, I first of all talk about the timing. As I said, neither Ukraine nor the Russian army have the ability to wage a modern war with elements of the fourth generation. You have unfolded not a short-lived war of the 21st century, when there is resistance for a month or two, then the enemy is destroyed and proceeds to surrender. You have a multi-time match, if I may say so,” Rustamadze said..

As an example, he cited Severodonetsk, Luhansk region. According to him, now the occupiers have taken the city, but after some time the situation may change dramatically and the city will again completely come under the control of Ukraine. The expert explained that this is a long process, a long war. War of exhaustion.

“But I will reveal to you the secret of Ukraine's victory in such a war.. This is the Russian economy. From here you can predict the timing of the war. It is obvious that until the end of 2022 Russia will not experience difficulties with resources. The impetus for this will be the continued infliction of losses on the Russian army by the Ukrainian. I have already indicated this boundary figure - under a thousand killed people per day, ”added Rustamadze..

At the same time, Russian economist Andrei Illarionov recently published statistics according to which, if in February the enemy’s losses were 1,325 people, now they are 165. Moreover, the data on the total losses of Russians in the Armed Forces of Ukraine and British intelligence diverge twice - 30,350 and 15 thousand, respectively..

“Data must be dealt with, correcting them towards the truth.. At the same time, you need to understand exactly that we are still not talking about the First World War.. Each soldier is in technology, and does not go to the bayonet attack. A thousand people is about 40-50 infantry fighting vehicles. The Russian Federation really has a lot of human resources, but the equipment is running out. Russia, due to the inertia of its military-industrial complex, cannot quickly replenish reserves. Therefore, this war has no military solution.. The fate of this war will be decided by the political defeat of the Russian Federation. Therefore, by all means it is necessary, on the one hand, to continue to destroy the equipment of the enemy, on the other hand, to achieve the political defeat of Russia,” Rustamadze explained..

According to him, the ongoing political pressure of the West and the too high cost of war for the economy will lead to the fact that Russia will be forced to end this war.. Rustamadze once again stressed that Russia is not a country that can be defeated by military means.

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According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the situation in eastern Ukraine remains tense today. The Russian invaders are conducting active offensive operations and continue artillery and air attacks on the positions of the Defense Forces. Their main goal is to capture Severodonetsk and advance in the Bakhmut direction, where assault operations are underway in the direction of the settlements of Nirkovo and Nikolaevka. It was also reported that the invaders were advancing on Slavyansk from the southeast of Izyum.