Almost half of the Earth will change by 2100 - scientists

09 May 2023, 21:08 | Technologies
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Scientists conducted simulations of the future of the Earth until the year 2100 and revealed how much gradual changes in temperature and precipitation can change the climate at the local level. These changes will be so dramatic, they say, that it will probably be the first time we've had to redraw maps since the 1880s..

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Our planet is now on the brink of several tipping points that, if passed, could set off a cascade of environmental change.. Extreme heatwaves, droughts, floods and storms are becoming more frequent and intense; energy trapped in the earth's atmosphere and oceans "

In a new study, scientists tried to understand what lies ahead for our planet. They used different climate models that showed that up to half of the Earth could be in a new climate zone.. These shifts have become much more visible with the advent of new generation climate models that are more sensitive to change..

To determine possible changes, Diermeier and colleagues used the Koppen-Geiger maps, a system used to divide the world into five climate zones based on temperature, rainfall, and seasons.. Maps in 1884 were developed by Vladimir Koeppen, since then they have been repeatedly supplemented and updated. They are used to model the distribution and development of species.

The shifts in climate zones that scientists have modeled represent a whole range of possibilities, as the physics of some variables, such as precipitation, is more difficult to model than others, such as temperature.. In addition, the simulation only captures land masses, not taking into account the Earth's oceans..

But scientists say their findings are enough to show that without immediate action, the rate of global warming will increase over decades, and vulnerable species and agricultural practices will have less and less time to adapt..

The analysis of scientists showed that by 2100 the tropical climate zone will expand from 23 to 25% of the land.. Dry area increase from 31% to 34%. This could shake up food reproduction systems and spread mosquito-borne diseases to new areas..

The greatest climate shifts are expected in the cold climate zones of Europe and North America. By 2100, up to 89% of Europe and almost 66% of North America may move to another climate zone.



People living in other regions, such as Africa, will also feel the heat from climate change, but within their existing climate zone..

The most noticeable shift will be in the polar region, which in 1901-1930 covered 8% of the land, but has already decreased to 6.5% with a temperature increase of 1.5 degrees Celsius..

Earlier, scientists said that part of the United States is slowly sinking into the water. Sea rise rates are higher along the Gulf Coast and southeast, researchers say.




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