In a recent study published on the pre-print server medRxiv, researchers predicted the development of protracted coronavirus disease (COVID) and its three specific symptoms, namely mobility, cognitive and self-care difficulties, based on experiences of adversity and anxieties about adversity in the month before.
The multifaceted etiology of long-term COVID makes it a major public health problem. Although previous studies have identified demographic and infectious characteristics as risk factors for long-term COVID, there are no studies demonstrating stress prior to first infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) as a predictor of long-term COVID, according to the online publication for. net About the study.
In the present longitudinal study, investigators used multiple imputations to analyze data from 1,966 adults from the United Kingdom (UK) who met inclusion criteria for the study but lacked data for other study variables.. 1,966 study participants took part in the COVID-19 Social Survey conducted in the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic to collect the psychological and social experiences of over 75,000 adults.
The study data were well stratified and all participants met the following eligibility criteria: they were infected with SARS-CoV-2 prior to November 2021, had COVID-19 only once, and reported a date of infection with COVID-19 that was at least five weeks in advance. The majority, i.e. 91.71% of the study sample, had data four weeks before infection.
The panel examined the interaction between a three-tier Socioeconomic Index (SEP) and impact variables related to long-term COVID status, including annual household income, higher educational qualifications, employment status if they lived off rent/rent/homeowner, and overcrowding..
There were 10 and 11 points in the categories of “adversity” and “concern”, respectively.. They summed up the binary responses to the adversity and anxiety questions to create the total number of adversity experiences and adversity experiences.. The researchers also assessed the variables of COVID-19 infection, including asymptomatic, mild, moderate, and severe.. Two binary variables indicated the presence or absence of pre-existing physical and mental health conditions.
The team conducted three series of analyzes. First, they used binary logistic regression models to assess the association between adversity experiences and associated anxieties and the development of long-term COVID.. They then established a term for the interaction between adversity experiences and anxieties and a low SEP index.. SEP index reduced to 0, 1 and 2+ signs of low SEP to achieve adequate sample sizes for each category.
Finally, they examined associations between three specific long-term symptoms of COVID, including difficulties with mobility, cognition, and self-care, as well as experiencing adversity and anxiety about adversity.. All studies analyze controlled socio-demographic factors, health-related factors and characteristics of COVID-19.
Research results.
More than 12% of the weighted study population were unsure if they had long-term COVID or not; however, 3.76% were diagnosed with long-term COVID and 16.34% believed they had long-term COVID.
In the month prior to developing COVID-19, the likelihood of self-reporting prolonged COVID increased by 1.25 with each additional worry about adversity, such as job loss. Consequently, anxiety about adverse experiences was a strong predictor of long-term COVID (RR: 1, 43; 95% CI). In addition, the number of experiences with adversity was also correlated with a 1.46 greater likelihood of developing cognitive difficulties.. Participants in the lowest SEP group were twice as likely to develop long-term COVID (OR: 1.95; 95% CI).
In people who developed long-term COVID, there was evidence that greater anxiety about adversity experienced in the month prior to infection increased the likelihood of difficulties with cognition, but not with mobility or self-care. Accordingly, about 62% of participants in the long-term COVID group experienced difficulties with cognition, i.e. memory or concentration, which was much higher than reported in previous systematic reviews (15% to 26%) and the coronavirus infection study (25%).
People with cognitive difficulties were more likely to be older, women, ethnic minorities, and work; in addition, 57.87% of participants experienced mobility difficulties.
conclusions.
According to the authors, this is the first study to highlight factors present prior to the SARS-CoV-2 infection index that contributed to the development of long-term COVID.. In particular, the study highlighted the role of stress, both chronic stress, such as low SEPSIS, and pandemic-related adversity and anxiety..
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