Bill Gates published an essay on AI today. Says this is the first in a series. I’ll retell it briefly, because every paragraph here deserves attention..
The following is the text in the original language. I had two lives. First, I will use software from Microsoft. To another, from 2008, I give the money I earned for health and light. Resentment until now shapes my view of artificial intelligence.
We will become either the greatest victor in history, or the greatest source of injustice.. As soon as possible, the transition to era III will be one of the most turbulent periods in human history.
We’re not ready for anything right now. People underestimate scale for two reasons. First of all, models still have mercy, and it is important to understand that they are replacing people. But the problem of reliability is very strong. In other words, analogies with past technologies are deceiving.
It took the personal computer twenty years to change the robot. We work on devices that are already in us, and to speak in our own way. We don't need to adapt to the new. Vіn adapts before us.
When is the truth different?. All my life I want innovation to happen faster. My thoughts seem to be folded. Those who have the least will need the most hours of preparation: an accounting clerk, who can replace a bot, or people for twenty dollars per year, who can be replaced by a robot for ten.
If I had a realistic plan to enhance global development, I would encourage you. Nothing will happen. Geopolitical and economic incentives to marry for extra income.
Three great robes.
First. Plenty of workers have a chance to live again. In 1933, at the time of the Great Depression, unemployment in the United States was close to 25 hundred.. Then the economy has renewed itself. How many times will renewal not come with an economical cycle?.
Sales, customer support, software development, legal assistants suffer first, and then further: credit assessment, data analysis, patents. Robots will add everyday life and service here. The markets tried to promote everything they saw and saw, and without the supply of good workers, the place would be smaller, and the benefits would go to the narrow stake.
Other. I will give the opportunity to manage harm to those who previously did not have the strength. Zlochynets with minimal skills can attack people, companies, orders. The same model, which is used to determine the spillage of software, will help its victoriousness.
The very same model that creates faces, forgives the creation of new illnesses. The smartest cybersecurity experts I know are predicting what will happen next.
Third. We can spoil the development of our children and replace human cramps.
Good will also be even greater: medicine, lighting, a tutor for skin children, access for small businesses to the opportunities that corporations have today. Good and bad will come at the same time.
The world needs a plan. Part 1 of this plan: contributions to robots for people.
My dad died of Alzheimer's in 2020. During the rest of the month, people wondered how they understood what he was saying when he could no longer speak.. What happened to her robot was inevitably human. I call it the Human Reserve.
Like natural reserves: there can be roads there, but we won’t go anywhere, because the waste will be great.
You can’t tell the 55-year alarm clock what you are now doing in the summer alarm clock, and check what it will do. You don’t want a robot to inform you of your diagnosis of an abnormal illness, although technically you can.
І rebalance the taxes. As soon as you hire a person, you pay taxes on their salary.
When you buy a robot, you write it off as a waste.
The tax system is about to replace people with machines. I saw the robot tax as fateful, and most respected this wonderful idea. I'm still a henchman.
My message to leaders: you have a chance to act now, before unemployment increases sharply, communities suffer, and trust is unknown.
Unprecedented technology results in unprecedented global expansion. If it is done correctly, the game for humanity will be phenomenal.