Scientists from the National Technical University "
This was reported on the official website of NTU "
The results of the study of the spread of coronavirus in Ukraine during the month of August were published. The situation, according to scientists, remains stably difficult and becomes protracted..
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Scientists state that the overwhelming majority of the country's population has returned to normal life, neglecting basic means of protection against coronavirus infection. Its mobility has increased to 150% compared to the beginning of the year.
" In terms of the growth rate of the number of infected, Ukraine, in comparison with European countries, has a rather negative trend, therefore it is included in the group of countries of the "
Predictive modeling of the spread of the disease, obtained using a variety of different methods, show that in August, forecast trends have high volatility and a tendency for the number of daily infected to fluctuate in the range of 800-1,500..
" 807). Based on this dependence, predictions were made that, provided that the growth rate of the number of PCR tests continues (the growth rate over the past two months was approximately 1.55 per month), the number of diagnosed sick people in Ukraine at the end of August 2020 will reach a level of approximately 110.
This nature of the spread of coronavirus can be slowed down only as a result of the gradual appearance of herd immunity in about 60-70% of the population.. The natural course of this process can occur throughout the year.. Its significant acceleration is possible only as a result of mass vaccination of the population..
Earlier it was reported that in Ukraine, as of August 3, 73,158 cases of COVID-19 were laboratory confirmed, of which 990 per day.