In the fierce ts'ogo rock, zaporebrykovy and vitychinnyi ZMІ spilled a twig (zakresleno) novina, scho butsimto on parliamentary hearings at Duma of the Russian Federation sounded "rozsekrecheni numeri" vstrat SRSR u vіnі - Mayzhe 42 million osib. І Hocha vzhe passed on the 70 rock, igri on the shoe bend trivayut. Хто роздмухує сенсації та скільки ж насправді людей полягло під червоними прапорами?.

Author's note: I'm a miracle of the rose, I'm not bored with my readership, not by professors and historians, but by demographers, I surrender all the evidence base, and I know it with sharp results. For dopytlivyh will be posilannya, write Sergiy Gromenko for Peter and Mazepa.

Reading the unprepared rozmov kolivan from the figures can motivate: from 7 million for Stalin to 46 million for Ivanovim. І навіть якщо відкинути абсурдні крайнощі, "вилка" лише Direct loss one more заяска: from 21 to 27 million. And it is not so much the way to do so, but to include such and other people, and there are demonstrators too.. Alya for that, shchob viznachiti, de truth, potrybno kilka sliv tell about the method obrahunku.

Methodів, зважаючи на катастрофічний перебіг війни, we have two options available. At the first vipadku take danni about dovoyenne population, dodayut gipotichnu kilkist people, yaki could be narodichitsya at the peaceful hour, vidnimayut vaznimyk nayvnogo voveennogo populyarnya i otrymuyut shokovi 40 (and then і 50) million suupkih demographic losses. Ale problem vidokremlennya quiet, hto really zaginuv, vid quietly, hto just do not nasydivsya, dovol'i zapultana, tozec not our way.

Other sposib troki huddled. Spotchatku vіd nayavnogo povyonnogo peoplenia slіd vіdnati kіlkіst дітей, які nadіdilsya ta dozhili up кінця бойових дій - так ми дізнаємося, skilki ludu vlasne survived the sin. Потім треба від довоєнного населення відняти це number - і дізнатися загальну кількість померлих і втікачів за період. І наостанок із цього числа нехідно вирахувати a demonstrator of natural deaths - і matimemo troki of rude, але в цілому пральний підсумок утрат країни (якщо cе explanatory note залалося you трохи незрозумілим, below on concrete figures it will be easier to resign).

І here is poste pittany: yakshcho all so easy, then yakogo дідька за 70 років учені не дійшли згоди щодо цієї проблемыми? I can assure you, that the bolshist science of the zhodi yakraz dyshli, bzduri produkuyut in the basic polity (iz vlasnyh mirkuvan) that magazine - through povalnu illiteracy that gonitvu for sensations.

Well і nema de pravdi diti, obektivnyh vesponny for viznachennya kіlostі zagiblikh u vіnі takozh vistachaє.

Naybilshu problem is to become the dignity of the dome of the pre-war that populated the population of the USSR. The census of 1937 rock of the boulevards of "hacking", the yogo result was classified, and the census of 1939 soktuevo deformed the real picture. Lisha naprikінці 1980-х досідники отримимали access to більш-менш достовірної інформації тих чаів, то розглядати висновки, зроблені до цього часу, ми не небумо.

Shche one bіda - іz the first pіslyаvoєnnym rewrite, shо vіdbuvsya as much as 1959 rock, and that rozraunki nayavnogo on 1946 рік poplar - tse nadsozladna demograficheskaya ekvіlіbristika, yaka borrowed tsіlі books.

Well, i naoostonok, ale not ostannn - tse superekki viz dviz obrakhunkiv (1940 / cob 1941 / middle of 1941-mid-1945 / cob 1946), and, in the course of the population in the post-communist cordons of the USSR. Little viznachiti, skilki people lingered in the Union of 1939 rock pislya do represy, slid nobles, skilki novim piddanikh otrimala Moscow vaslidok ekspansiї 1939-1940 рр. , And there up to 17 to 23 million.

Otzhe, the range for the 1940s is 191.7 million to 195.9 million osib; For the beginning of 1941 - from 195.4 million to 198.7 million; For the middle part - from 196.4 million to 200 million. Shch is typical, all the basics are based on one and only the very dzherel - giving the Radiansky statistics, the concentration in the Central Statistical Office of the SRSR (and і i інші, але about them lower).

On the ear of 1946 rock "fork" of the population - from 167 million to 170.5 million osib.

З усіх десятків, якщо не сотень дослідників, занятих цими обраухунками, найбільшої уваги заслуговує колктив. Андрєєва, Л. Darskogo i T. Of Kharkiv. Значущість їхньої праці "The Population of the Soviet Union: 1922-1991" (М. : Science, 1993) is equipped with two factor factors. First of all, the group of scientists in the Russian Academy of Sciences has little access to state archives, the chim could not have been praised for the lack of independence of "innocent people", and up to rozrack in the rings of Derzhstat, and in the other way, early 1990's in Russia by the hour, The totalitarian regime has fallen and the academic freedom has come, and "getting in touch with the Kolin" and rewriting with the new imperialists has not yet begun to sweat. The identity is not marvelous, but the very words of the ADH have got the status of office.

For їхніми розрахунками, in the middle of 1941 in the SRSR, 196.716 million rubles fell, and on the ear of 1946 rock - 170.548 million. During the hour, 11,092 million people were born, tombs from the pre-war population survived (170,548 - 11,092 =) 159,456 million. This rank, the chi has disappeared without a reason vihalo z kraїni (196,716 - 159,456 =) 37,260 million. (11.9 million people), then the population becomes (37,260 - 11,900 =) 25,360 million osib. Takozh up to the price of 25.3 million, the author was given a demonstrator of immortality in the middle of the world (1.3 million), not for the peaceful hour, but rejected the final result - 26.6 million, which can be reduced to the number. NB: dodavati nemovlat chi ni - on the right doslidnitskogo relish; В наскрізь офіційному ювілейний інілейному збірнику "The Great Patriotic War" (M. : Rosstat, 2015), the total number of victims of wildfire was 25.5 million, and the dead were not allowed to enter the category until they were unmarried, and I vvazhayu tse correct.

Утім, слід розуміти, scho in the number of nakotto residual victims vinyi neminuchea have been spent і tsіlkom zhіzі people - втікачі з комністичного "раю", які не схотіли повертатися і яких рахувати ніяк не можна. In the Union itself, "nevozvraschyantsev" oblkuvali as much as 0.5 million, and vidtak bezsrededdno zagiblikh unalisok vinyi zalisyatsya approximately 25 million osib (i nivit 150 tis. The victims of Zimov's crime do not vplyvayut sutestvo on tsu figure).

Turn up to nebito 42 million zagiblikh for "rozsekrecheniyami give" to the Derzhdi. Elementary pozhuk show, scho spivgolova "Bessmеrtnogo regiment" deputy H. Zemtsov oprylyudniv not yakіs novі офіційні дані, а результатти роботи історика І. Івєєва. До честі дослідника, він увів в обіг новий масив Number of people giving the principle of a new walk. Якщо всі його попередники Interpreted danі radyanskih statuspravlyn, then vin zvernuvsya up to the slump Djerplanu SRSR - a bureaucratic monster. Utim, not being a demographer, Івъвв pripustavsya kilkok rude pomilok (zokrema, zmіshav dokuyki pokazalniki zagalnoї ta dtyachoї mortality), and that vijshov for a fantastic 42 million tons of direct loss. Ale, skorastavshis yogi give (and not yogo methodologies), mi can only otrimaty one glance at the victim of the SRSR in the Viney.

Otzhe, in the middle of 1941 the population of the Union became 199.920 million osib, in the middle of 1945 - 169,809 million. During this hour, 11.86 million people were born, and in particular they survived (169,810 - 11,860 =) 157,950 million. Such a rank, the chi has disappeared without a reason vihalo z kraїni (199,920 - 157,950 =) 41,970 million. The demon of natural deaths became 10.833 million, the loss of the population (41,970 - 10,833 =) - 31,137 million osib. Віднімемо "нєвозвращаєнцев" і отримаємо 29,6 million victims - the result is much better, alle for sensation ін аж ніяк not suitable.

The th Uzagalі svitova tendency in the field of pereglyadі of the alternating figures in the rapidity of the victims of accidents, for the base, the result is the same for 25 million.

Yakshcho shortly, then in our time the bullet is forging a "fork": from 6 million to 15 million zagiblu. Але позаторік після десятиліть досліджень Інститут демографії ім. Futures giving, nareshti, residual wigs, a sort of priyatyaty Ukrainian Institute of National Pam'yat and Moge vvazhatis otitsynim. Otzhe, the extension of 1939-1945 pp. Our country has invested 8 million rubles, 2,9 million of them - all the military, and 5,1 million are sacrificial offerings (such is the figure which is an enormous number - the result of the vilification of the Ukrainians). Inodom can be a pobachiti і number 10.4 million, albeit including in their own non-native citizens.

Information is not appropriate. Komus 25 million zaduyutsya zavischeni - well, could not so fucking dedy voyuvaty! Іншим, навпаки, щашася, що ми here занижуємо, and nasravdіі the regime "was stricken by the blood". Utim, please try to abstract to the pidrakhunkiv and simply to destroy the scale of the loss - 12% of the inhabitants of the Social Democratized Soviet Socialist Republic have disappeared in the battle Dobri zi Zlom, chi Kolimi iz Buchenwald (whichever is greater to the likeness).

First of all for the absolute costs of the means of the spring. Tse yakby povnistju znilo populated area, anchored in the central European region more than half of the population.

Tom, if any of them chuete, sho stinks "mozhut repeat" - smily spit їм у вічі.

Kozhny eight kills - nafig so repeat.

Editorial site is not responsible for the content of blogs. The editorial opinion may differ from the author's.

Join the group "Browser Blogs" on Facebook, stay tuned!.