This conclusion was reached in the research organization RethinkX. In their view, in 15 years, most Americans will switch to various services on the call of autonomous taxis, people will start saving money by abandoning their own car, and instead of parking in the cities there will be parks and wide sidewalks.
The future of urban transport will be a network of public autonomous vehicles owned by ridersharing companies, tells about the main points of the BI research. In the conditions of this branched network, a person simply will not need to have his own car - he can just press the button and the drone himself will come to him. So the future transport network is represented by the authors of the study - the founder of RethinkX and the Stanford teacher Tony Seba and the investor and philanthropist James Arbib, informs hightech. Fm The main point in the report is that by 2030 the number of owners of own cars in the US will drop by 80%. Today it seems a very bold forecast - the country has traditionally been the leader in terms of the number of cars per capita. The study says that by 2020, the US will account for 247 million cars, but in 10 years the number will drop to 47 million. Over the same period, world oil demand will fall from 100 million barrels a day to 70 million barrels a day.
Already by 2021 the cost of one mile with ridershring services of the US will cost 4-10 times cheaper than the cost of a mile when buying your own car. Getting rid of the costs of buying, servicing and accompanying taxes, every American family can save up to $ 5,600, giving up ownership of the car. This will lead to the fact that the amount of free money in American families by 2030 will grow to $ 1 trillion.
If everything goes according to forecasts and most Americans will refuse personal transport, then this will be an occasion for revising the views on urban design. By 2030, it will happen that less cars will travel more miles. In other words, there will be no private cars, and the drones that replaced them will practically not stop. One passenger is delivered - just another order. As a result, the need for parking will drop sharply. The vacated place can be spent on the expansion of sidewalks, the construction of parks, new residential areas in which parking will be banned altogether.