A year of the three-day war has already passed, and the world is still trying to understand its causes and consequences.. Russia's explanations cannot be taken rationally, because they do not contain rational. War, obviously, is different for us and for the aggressor, which makes understanding impossible.. The events of this war are also perceived differently by different peoples who are watching it from the outside.. This fact brings us back to geopolitics, because it is important to realize that when some powerful countries talk about providing weapons or establishing peace, they see it differently.. Everyone wants peace, but it is different for Ukraine, China, Russia or the USA.
The U.S. wants peace when there is a controlled degradation and collapse of Russia, and China becomes more restrained in its aspirations to dominate Asia. It is important to get rid of aggressive Russia, because it has been and remains the only threat to peace in Europe, but at the same time, the ideal option is to prevent China's uncontrolled access to Russian resources. China wants peace when the US ceases to be the sole world leader and Russia becomes a mere power bank to fuel China's big national renewal project. Russia wants a world in which it is recognized as a great state, has the right to veto everything that happens around, without any reason, except for nuclear weapons, the size of the territory and mineral reserves. Dugin has not been heard for a long time, and now he again crawled out of his cave and declared that " We have heard about this before, but now it is important that everyone hears.
Putin is just the personification of evil. Evil itself is those who gave him power, who want to dominate and hate everyone who does not belong to his " Putin always wanted this war. For him, it began thirty years ago, and all this time he raised and cherished every moment of it.. He built the war piece by piece, like a Lego model, and waited for the opportunity.. The war became his only favorite brainchild, and as soon as the conditions developed in 2014, he let it grow.. Unable to truly think strategically, he directed all the forces of his petty mentally traumatized nature to one goal - to prove to the " He was and remains indifferent to his children, and to strangers, and to his women, and to all others.. The dream of a Neanderthal - to prove to everyone that he is homo sapiens - cannot be rational. For some, Orwell's novels have become an antidote against the horrors of communism, for him - instructions for action..
Everyone wants peace, only Putin and his zombie population who believe his every word want war. For him, this is not a war against Ukraine, but against the United States and the West. The capture of Crimea and the invasion of the East of Ukraine in 2014, the aggression on February 24 - all these are components of a long-prepared plan of revenge on the West for East Germany, the collapse of the USSR, the “humiliation” of Russia during the Yeltsin era, technological backwardness and the inability to impose their erroneous vision of the world order on leading geopolitical players. It is no coincidence that the current phase of the war began with absurd ultimatums to the West. Ukraine interested him only as a battlefield. This is how it was always done in the USSR. Only the leaders of the CPSU chose other territories - either Cuba or Afghanistan. If Putin had been the president of the USSR in the 1990s, either Poland, or the Baltic countries, or Hungary, where they never learned the lessons of history, would have become such a battlefield. He grew up on myths about the " He put in so much effort to become strong, but he, personally, was betrayed - first by Gorbachev, and then by Yeltsin. He did not take revenge on them, because for him they are small, secondary goals.. His revenge is directed at the strong, at the USA, and this is a real drive, even an orgasm for his paranoid, mythologically deformed view of the world.. But everything went wrong, because the world is different from what he imagined for himself.. Ukraine did not give up, and the democracies of the world united to fight back Russia.
Our victory is born on the battlefield, but it is also in a clear understanding of what is happening around. John F. Kennedy, who went through the Cuban Missile Crisis, once said: “In domestic politics, we only risk defeat, foreign policy can bring us to the grave.”.
Geopolitics, which died a year ago, is slowly returning. China slightly reduced its aggressive rhetoric against the West, but joined the game of raising rates, demonstrating strategic relations with Putin, rapprochement with Iran and increasing the supply of almost free energy resources from Russia. China needs the US to focus on the war in Europe, thereby weakening its position in Asia. Even for a superpower, "
Russia has formed a basic alliance with North Korea, Iran, Belarus and Syria, persistently drawing into it the countries of Africa and Latin America, where the colonial past is still remembered. All this was already in the days of the USSR. This is bad, but not critical, because flirting with the "
The United States has done the unbelievable - restored the unity of the West, and now its position in negotiations with China is much stronger than in the period immediately after Trump. There have been cardinal changes in the policy of France, Italy, the Netherlands and Germany, who only yesterday spoke about special relations with Putin.. The European Union has taken on an unexpectedly powerful appearance, where only one country is stubbornly trying to destroy unity, and there is reason to believe that the project of a united Europe will actually become a reality.. It is possible that the United Kingdom will also return to it, which, in difficult conditions, is showing outstanding leadership on the world stage..
For the first time since World War II, Japan began to move away from orthodox pacifism. Constant provocations from restless neighbors also affected the revision of strategic documents in the field of security and defense - evidence of this. In the Indo-Pacific region, new alliances have begun to form and strengthen, which should become the foundation for maintaining the status quo and preventing the emergence of conflicts in the region, where the industrial and technological heart of the world beats.
Finally, the unique Ramstein formula has emerged, and it is possible that it will continue after our victory, since it is becoming increasingly clear that threats of war can arise not only in Europe, and the civilized world must be ready to respond in the conditions of paralysis of international institutions called upon to. The United States does not intend to cede its leadership position to anyone, however, the new configuration of the competitive environment in the major leagues will no longer be one-man. We are expecting the formation of two global blocs that will go far beyond regional features. Russia's sweet dreams of a "
January 31, 1979 Deng Xiaoping went on a historic visit to the United States. On board the plane, he was in high spirits.. A few weeks earlier, the PRC and the United States had established diplomatic relations, a fact that the PRC leader viewed as an extremely important step in his program to " Deng Xiaoping was not a person who likes to talk a lot, but at that time, according to eyewitnesses, he talked a lot about his plans for reform and economic development of the PRC.. In particular, he said: “If we look closely at history, we will see that all those countries that were together with the United States became rich, while those that were against the United States remained poor.. We will be with the USA"
The fact that China will not risk relations with the largest consumer of its products even now is confirmed by statistics: last year, trade between the United States and China amounted to $ 690 billion.. , with imports from China to the United States reaching $536.8 billion. , while exports amounted to only 153.8 billion. And, although politics does intervene in the economy, a positive balance of $ 383 billion. - a very important argument in order not to forget the words of Deng Xiaoping. Similar trends are observed in China's trade with the EU (the positive balance exceeds $ 210 billion. Russia, on the other hand, has lost its strategic balance in its foreign relations: the European market for energy carriers and high-tech goods has actually been closed, the arms market in Asia is being squeezed out of the arms market, and industrial development is in a state of stagnation.. Russia becomes easy prey for China. It is impossible for a Eurasian Russia to imagine a one-legged stance, even in the context of special relations with India and China..
The question is when will Putin’s entourage finally understand this and draw conclusions.
The world will be different after our victory. Pandora's box, opened by Russia, is doing its job, and instead of developing, half of the world is now in a hurry to order new types of ultra-modern weapons. Even Hungary is drastically increasing its military budget, to say nothing of our allies in Europe and Asia. The world after our victory will be different, but, against all odds, better. And Ukraine will be its co-creator.